Experts name 3 ASX 200 giants to sell today

Two top experts say it's time to take profits on these outperforming ASX 200 giants.

| More on:
Blue chip in a trolley with a man pushing it.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Commonwealth Bank of Australia shares have risen 25.5% over the past year, prompting experts to advise selling due to stretched valuation and potential financial headwinds.
  • Wesfarmers is up 29.0% in the same timeframe, with analysts citing margin pressures and overvaluation as reasons to consider reallocating profits.
  • Lynas surged 150.0%, driven by geopolitical factors, but is seen as overvalued, with limited growth prospects barring significant market changes.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 9.3% over the past year, but the three ASX 200 giants we look at below have all gained far more.

And with those strong runs behind them, two leading experts believe that now is the right time to take some profits off the table and put them to better use (courtesy of The Bull).

Lock in gains on the biggest stock on the ASX

First up, we have Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA).

CBA shares are up 0.1% in morning trade today, changing hands for $169.43 each. That sees shares in the ASX 200 bank stock up 25.5% over 12 months, not including dividends.

And it gives Australia's biggest bank and the biggest stock trading on the ASX a market cap of $283 billion.

But after this strong run higher, and with headwinds potentially building, Morgans' Damien Nguyen recommends selling CBA shares.

"CBA is a high-quality bank with strong market share, but its valuation is stretched relative to peers," said Nguyen.

He noted:

It trades on a significantly higher price-to-earnings ratio compared to global counterparts.

Slowing credit growth, margin compression and rising household financial stress poses a risk to earnings. With limited upside and a premium valuation, we believe it's prudent to lock in some gains and rotate into better value financials.

Morgans' Nguyen also has a sell rating on Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) shares.

Wesfarmers shares are down 1.5% today, trading for $88.95 each. That sees Wesfarmers shares up 29.0% since this time last year, and this also doesn't include the two dividends.

And it gives this ASX 200 giant a market cap of $101 billion.

"Wesfarmers has a strong portfolio of businesses, but near-term risks are building," Nguyen noted.

According to Nguyen:

Lithium losses, margin pressure at the Bunnings hardware giant and a potentially softer consumer environment weigh on sentiment. The shares have risen from $68.53 on April 7 to trade at $91.45 on October 2. In our view, the stock trades at a premium to discretionary peers, and we see better opportunities elsewhere.

The company's growth outlook doesn't support its current valuation. Investors may want to consider taking profits before moving the proceeds to more attractively priced alternatives.

Which brings us to…

The third ASX 200 giant to sell today

If you follow along with the markets, you'll know that Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) has been on an absolute tear this year.

Shares in the ASX 200 rare earths miner are down 0.6% today, trading for $19.16 apiece. That puts the Lynas share price up 150.0% over 12 months, with the share price up a whopping 193.4% in 2025. Lynas does not pay dividends. The miner currently commands a market cap of $19 billion.

But after this remarkable surge, Catapult Wealth's Blake Halligan believes Lynas shares are in overvalued territory.

"Lynas is the largest producer of rare earths outside of China," said Halligan, who has a sell recommendation on Lynas shares.

According to Halligan:

Concerns about the trade relationship between China and the United States has contributed to a strong increase in the Lynas share price. The shares have risen from $6.85 on April 2 to trade at $17.26 on October 2. The company recently raised $932 million from institutional investors and eligible shareholders. We believe the shares are overvalued.

As for what might support the ASX 200 rare earths giant moving forward, Halligan said:

The only way we can see our fair value increasing to its current share price is through a takeover offer for Lynas, or Australia implementing a rare earths price floor. We can't envisage either of our options happening anytime soon.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

man with dog on his lap looking at his phone in his home.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Two workers at an oil rig discuss operations.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Santos, Beach Energy or Woodside shares? Here's Macquarie's top pick

Macquarie has released its new share price expectations for Santos, Beach Energy and Woodside shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

person holding hat
Broker Notes

3 ASX 200 large-cap shares just re-rated by analysts

We reveal the latest views on an ASX 200 large-cap miner, retailer, and consumer staples leader.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Down 80% in 2025: Is it time to buy this beaten down ASX stock?

Let's see what Bell Potter is saying about this stock after its heavy decline.

Read more »

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Broker Notes

NextDC shares jump 11% on major OpenAI deal

This data centre operator will be home to the AI giant in Australia.

Read more »

A large clear wine glass on the left of the image filled with fifty dollar notes on a timber table with a wine cellar or cabinet with bottles in the background.
Broker Notes

Macquarie names 3 top dividend-paying ASX 200 shares to buy today

Macquarie expects these three dividend paying ASX 200 shares to outperform in 2026. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Confident male executive dressed in a dark blue suit leans against a doorway with his arms crossed in the corporate office
Broker Notes

Broker reveals ratings on 4 ASX 200 sector leaders

Prefer ASX 200 large-cap stocks? Here are some new ratings and price targets for four sector leaders.

Read more »