These ASX 200 shares could rise 30% to 35%

These shares could be top picks for investors searching for outsized returns.

| More on:
A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • A gaming technology company offers a potential 35% upside with strategic listing catalysts and favourable valuation metrics.
  • A diversified mining company presents a 30% upside due to market conditions, despite some near-term earnings challenges.
  • Analysts see significant return potential in these stocks, highlighting particularly attractive entry points for long-term investors.

The market has historically delivered an average return of approximately 10% per annum. But Aussie investors don't need to settle for that!

Not when there are ASX 200 shares out there that are being tipped by brokers to rise significantly more than this over the next 12 months.

Two such shares are named below. Here's why brokers are recommending them as buys with major upside potential:

Light & Wonder Inc (ASX: LNW)

Analysts at Bell Potter think that this beaten down ASX 200 share could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

The broker currently has a buy rating and $176.00 price target on the gaming technology company's shares. Based on its current share price of $130.74, this implies potential upside of 35% for investors over the next 12 months.

It likes Light & Wonder due to its strong growth outlook and the potential for a sole listing on the ASX to underpin a rerating. It said:

We rate LNW a Buy over the medium to long term due to a compelling GARP profile relative to the ASX 100 and ALL (43% discount to EV / EBITA). In our view, the key catalyst in closing this discount is the ASX sole listing, which we believe will weigh positively on the stock after Dec 2025. In the short term we acknowledge risks to LNW including: A potential miss to the lower end of CY25e AEBITDA guidance of US$1,430m (BPe US$1,424m; VA US$1,432m) due to the timing of Asian game shipments; a worsening in the ALL litigation matter (less likely); and potential market disruption due to the Nasdaq delisting which may present an attractive entry point.

South32 Ltd (ASX: S32)

The team at Morgans is bullish on this diversified miner and believes recent weakness has created a buying opportunity for investors.

The broker has a buy rating and $3.55 price target on its shares. Based on its current share price of $2.66, this implies potential upside of approximately 30% for investors over the next 12 months.

While things have not been easy in recent times, Morgans thinks its shares are undervalued at current levels. It commented:

FY25 result steady, but FY26 guidance reset at Mozal (C&M risk) and Cannington (lower throughput, higher costs) clouds near-term earnings. Hermosa build year pushes group capex to US$1.4bn in FY26, keeping FCF tight despite trimmed sustaining spend. Sierra Gorda copper volumes up 20%, but limited near-term catalysts and consensus downgrades pressure weigh on sentiment. Dividend of US 2.6cps; US$144m remains in buyback program. Maintain BUY with reduced target price of A$3.55 (was A$4.10)

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Light & Wonder. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Light & Wonder. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A young woman wearing a red and white striped t-shirt puts her hand to her chin and looks sideways as she wonders whether to buy ASX shares
Broker Notes

Sigma Healthcare, TechnologyOne, South32 shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

Experts provide their views on three big names in the marketplace today.

Read more »

Happy friends at a party enjoying pizza, symbolising the Domino's Pizza share price.
Broker Notes

GQG Partners, Helloworld, Domino's Pizza shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

Here are some ratings on 3 ASX All Ords stocks including 'turnaround play' Domino’s Pizza shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 3 ASX shares to buy

Let's see which shares the broker is recommending as buys right now.

Read more »

surprised asx investor appearing incredulous at hearing asx share price
Broker Notes

2 ASX mining shares up 200% in a year and tipped to keep rising

Canaccord Genuity has buy ratings and exciting price targets on these ASX mining shares.

Read more »

Group of thoughtful business people with eyeglasses reading documents in the office.
Broker Notes

BHP, Pro Medicus, Myer shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

The market is having a strong day on Tuesday.

Read more »

A man in a hard hat gives a thumbs up as he holds a clipboard in one hand against a blue sky background.
Resources Shares

BHP share price cracks $50 as experts revise ratings following 1H FY26 update

BHP shares are not far off their historical high on Tuesday.

Read more »

A young woman drinking coffee in a cafe smiles as she checks her phone.
Broker Notes

Why experts have put buy recommendations on these ASX shares

When sentiment improves after sharp falls, opportunities can start to emerge.

Read more »