By 2026, the CSL share price could turn $5,000 into…

Let's find out what brokers are saying about this biotech giant.

Key points
  • Following a 30% drop in CSL's share price over the last year, brokers like Macquarie see it as undervalued, suggesting a potential 42% rise to $295.90, turning a $5,000 investment into about $7,100 if predictions hold true.
  • Morgans supports a buy rating for CSL, citing expectations of double-digit earnings growth, with a price target of $293.83, implying a possible 41% increase and transforming a $5,000 investment into approximately $7,050.
  • Both Macquarie and Morgans note CSL's capacity for strong earnings growth, with restructuring efforts anticipated to yield US$500 million in savings by 2028, strengthening its medium-term profitability despite recent challenges.

It has been a tough 12 months for the CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) share price.

During this time, the biotechnology giant's shares have tumbled over 30% to $207.82.

Although this is disappointing, it isn't often that a quality company like this trades at such a discount.

So, could this be a good option for a $5,000 investment? Let's find out.

A fortune teller looks into a crystal ball in an office surrounded by business people.

Image source: Getty Images

$5,000 invested in the CSL share price

The good news is that a number of leading brokers believe that there could be big returns on offer here for Aussie investors.

For example, according to a note out of Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) its analysts have put an outperform rating and $295.90 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 42% for investors over the next 12 months.

This means that a $5,000 investment would turn into approximately $7,100 if Macquarie is on the money with its recommendation. It said:

Despite downgrades to earnings, we view today's price movement as an overreaction. Incorporating more conservative FY26 forecasts compared to guidance, we see the current valuation as undemanding (trading at P/E ~20x with ~10% EPS growth). Outperform.

Elsewhere, the team at Morgans is equally bullish on the investment opportunity here. The broker highlights that CSL is positioned to deliver "double-digit earnings growth over the medium term." In light of this, it thinks its shares are undervalued at current levels.

Morgans has a buy rating and $293.83 price target on its shares. Based on the current CSL share price, this suggests that upside of 41% is possible between now and this time next year.

This would turn a $5,000 investment into approximately $7,050 in a year if the broker's recommendation delivers the goods. It said:

FY25 results were broadly in line, with double-digit underlying earnings growth, solid operating leverage and strong OCF. Behring was softer (+6%; hit by cUS$100m Medicare Part D reform), but margins gained on efficiencies (GPM +130bp, 51%; OPM +100bp, 42.2%), with Vifor showing resilience (+14%), while Seqirus was soft (-9%) on weak immunisation rates.

As widely anticipated, CSL flagged a restructuring, streamlining R&D and commercial productivity, targeting US$500m pre-tax savings by YE28, but surprised with Seqirus demerger and multi-year share buyback (US$500m FY26). While investors have taken a glass half full approach, we believe the restructuring augments, not masks the underlying business, with streamlining operations and cost savings supporting double-digit earnings growth over the medium term. We adjust FY26-27 forecasts modestly, with our PT decreasing to A$293.83. BUY.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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