Macquarie just tipped this ASX 200 REIT to outperform

The broker expects more price growth ahead.

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The National Storage REIT (ASX: NSR) share price is trading flat today. At the time of writing shares are $2.51 a piece.

The company's share price increased 2.7% yesterday following its FY25 financial results announcement. For the year the share price is 4.58% higher.

The ASX 200 stock posted an IFRS profit after tax of $236.1 million, a 3% increase year-on-year. FY25 underlying earnings per security (EPS) came in at 11.9 cents per share. This represents $164 million in underlying earnings overall, up 6.4% year-on-year.

Valuation of National Storage REIT's investment properties jumped 9% for the year to $5.3 billion, driven by improved operational performance. A total of 28 acquisitions, for a combined $303 million, were settled and 14 developments were completed during the 12 months to 30 June.

The company declared a final dividend of 5.6 cents per unit, taking the full-year dividend to 11.1 cents. This was slightly higher than expectations of 11 cents. 

For FY26, the company expects underlying earnings "to be a minimum of 12.4 cents per share and greater than $173 million".

It also confirmed plans to distribute 90-100% of underlying earnings. It also aims for 15 to 20% of the distribution guidance to be a fully franked dividend for FY26.

Following the announcement, broker Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) wrote a note to investors detailing its latest stance on the stock.

Price growth potential ahead

The broker confirmed its outperform rating on the ASX 200 REIT's shares. It also raised its target price to $2.63, up from $2.44 previously.

That represents a potential upside of 4.8% from the share price at the time of writing.

Maintain Outperform. NSR offers a 4.8% DPS yield with 5.8% 3-year CAGR with underlying rental growth enhanced by accretive developments and acquisitions," Macquarie said in its note.

The broker noted that the company's FY25 underlying EPS of 11.9 cents up is 5% higher year-on-year and slightly ahead of market consensus. The FY26 EPS guidance of at least 12.4 cents is also in line with consensus.

In terms of development, National Storage REIT has an additional 194,000 sqm of net lettable area (NLA) (1H25: ~200,000sqm) that is under construction or has development approval and is planned for delivery over the next 24 months. The total cost is $685 million. 

"Developments have trended towards a 10+% YoC after 5 years with 40-50% value uplift at stabilisation," Macquarie said in its note.

$118m of acquisitions in 2H25. This included 4 storage centres and 4 development sites. NSR has ~$600m of deployment capacity with Jun-25 gearing of 33% toward the mid-point of the 25-40% target range.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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