After seeing its result, does Macquarie still rate Pinnacle Investment Management shares a buy?

Pinnacle released its FY25 results on Tuesday afternoon.

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The Pinnacle Investment Management Ltd (ASX: PNI) share price is climbing higher this morning after the company released its FY25 results on Tuesday afternoon.

At the time of writing, the ASX 200 company's share price is up 8.82% to $25.06 a piece. The share price is now 55.85% higher over the year.

Highlights from Pinnacle's results include a 34% increase in revenue to $65.5 million and a 49% increase in net profit after tax to $134.4 million. 

A final dividend of 27 cents per share was declared, taking total dividends to 60 cents per share. This is above analyst consensus forecasts of 57 cents per share and 43% higher than the payout of 42 cents in FY24.

Earlier this week, Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) confirmed its outperform rating on Pinnacle Investment Management shares, and a price target of $25.10. 

Here's what the broker has to say about the stock following the results announcement.

Macquarie's update on Pinnacle shares

In a recent note to investors, the broker has confirmed its outperform rating on the stock, and raised its 12-month target price to $25.33, up from $25.10 previously.

The revised target price represents a potential 1.1% upside for investors at the time of writing.

Our target price of $25.33 (up 1% from $25.10) reflects minor earnings changes and roll forward.

PNI has an attractive organic growth outlook and potential to add accretive M&A. Outlook for organic performance is backed by net flows, performance fees, and operating leverage.

Pinnacle's FY25 reported earnings per share (EPS) missed Macquarie's expectations by 3.5%, largely as a result of 2H25 performance fees tracking below historical averages.

Macquarie forecasts a ~20% EPS CAGR FY25A-30E, prior to new affiliate contribution. Retain Outperform.

What Macquarie liked…

Affiliates funds under management (FUM) of $179.4 billion is 63% higher than FY24, supported by positive market movements, acquired FUM, investment performance, and growth from new affiliates, the broker explained.

It was also impressed that FY25 performance fees were +40% year on year to $153.6 million. Pinnacle's share was +49% year on year to $46.6 million.

The broker was pleased that in FY25, 15 of 18 affiliates grew FUM year on year.

The exception was Firetrail (-18%), PNI invested in VSS and PAM during FY25. PAM is reporting strong flows.

Revenue (excl. performance fees) was 39% higher versus FY24, another highlight for Macquarie. Meanwhile, net inflows were also positive for the year at +$23.1 billion for FY25 (vs +$9.9bn FY24). It also added:

12 affiliates earned performance fees in FY25, with 31 of PNI's strategies now able to deliver performance fees (compared with 5 at Jun-16). Of the 31 strategies, 15 are at high watermarks as at Jun-25, representing 60% of FUM with the potential to generate performance fees. A further 9 strategies are within 2% of high watermark.

The broker also notes that a final dividend of 27 cents, 88% franked, represents a payout ratio of 96%.

What Macquarie didn't like…

"Average fee rate moderated in 2H25 due to mix of flows," and "2H25 performance fees were below historical averages", the broker said.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Pinnacle Investment Management Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Pinnacle Investment Management Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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