Why Macquarie expects this ASX All Ords copper stock to soar 48% in a year

Macquarie forecasts another big year of gains ahead for this ASX All Ords copper stock. But why?

| More on:
A smiling miner wearing a high vis vest and yellow hardhat does the thumbs up in front of an open pit copper mine.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is unlikely to gain 498% over the next 12 months, but ASX All Ords copper stock FireFly Metals Ltd (ASX: FFM) certainly could.

That's according to a new research report from Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG).

In early afternoon trade today, FireFly shares are up 0.5%, changing hands for $1.05 apiece.

That puts the FireFly share price up 58.6% since this time last year.

And if the analysts at Macquarie have it right, then the year ahead could see FireFly shares deliver more outsized gains.

Here's why.

Why Macquarie has high expectations for the ASX All Ords copper stock

If you're not familiar with FireFly, the company is an emerging copper-gold miner focused on advancing its high-grade Green Bay Copper-Gold Project, located in Newfoundland, Canada.

Green Bay is comprised of multiple assets, including the Ming underground mine and the Little Deer exploration project.

On Tuesday, the ASX All Ords copper stock announced "a highly successful" equity raising. And Macquarie took note.

The broker said:

FFM has raised A$100m via flow-through shares (A$11.2m), a Canadian offering (A $28.8m), a two-tranche institutional placement (A$54.9m), and a share purchase plan (SPP) (up to A$5m).

The funds will be used for drilling at the Green Bay project, with six rigs targeting resource growth at the Ming Mine (~130,000m drill program in 2025) and one rig targeting regional targets.

Commenting on the ASX All Ords copper stock's capital raising on Tuesday, FireFly managing director Steve Parsons said, "The combination of the exceptional Green Bay asset, our proven exploration team and our $135 million cash war chest is the ideal recipe for growth."

Parsons added:

The overwhelming demand for the raising reflects the quality and growth outlook at Green Bay, our commitment to a multi-rig exploration campaign and the demand among global investors for top-shelf copper-gold projects.

Parsons concluded, "This outlook is further enhanced by the shortage of such outstanding projects which can meet investors' surging appetite for copper-gold exposure."

More tailwinds ahead?

Looking to what could boost the ASX All Ords copper stock in the months ahead, Macquarie labelled the second half of calendar year 2025 "catalyst-rich" for the miner.

"FireFly Metals is approaching a catalyst-rich 2H," the broker said.

In 2H 2025, investors can expect "news flow including drilling results from Green Bay (in-mine and regional), a resource update for Green Bay (3Q25/4Q25), and a pre-feasibility study (PFS) (4Q25/1Q26)," Macquarie added.

Connecting the dots, the broker maintained its outperform rating on FireFly shares, stating:

FFM's Green Bay Project represents a compelling copper development opportunity with resource upside, and the project has a pathway to ~32ktpa and upside to >50ktpa if resource growth exhibits critical mass to justify a larger mill.

Macquarie has a 12-month price target of $1.55 a share for the ASX All Ords copper stock. That represents a potential upside of 47.6% from current levels.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Broker Notes

Analysts name 3 ASX shares to sell

Let’s see why they are bearish on these names.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.
Broker Notes

Why analysts say Hub24, New Hope, and Xero shares are buys

Let's see why they are bullish on these names this week.

Read more »

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CSL, and Endeavour shares

Let's see if analysts are bullish, bearish, or something in-between with these shares.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BHP, DroneShield, and Santos shares

How do brokers rate these popular shares? Let's find out.

Read more »

A Chinese investor sits in front of his laptop looking pensive and concerned about pandemic lockdowns which may impact ASX 200 iron ore share prices
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Life360, Liontown, and Mineral Resources shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these shares.

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »