What does Macquarie think Web Travel Group shares are worth?

Is the broker bullish or bearish? Let's find out.

| More on:
Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Web Travel Group Ltd (ASX: WEB) shares have been in the spotlight this week.

The business to business travel company's shares have rocketed higher thanks to the release of a better than expected full year result.

Web Travel posted a 22% increase in total transaction value (TTV) with strong growth in all regions. And while its TTV margins softened in FY 2025 as expected, they have now stabilised.

Web Travel managing director, John Guscic, also revealed that FY 2026 has started strongly. He said:

We have had an exceptional start to FY26 trading with TTV up 37% and Bookings up 29% compared to the same period last year. We are targeting record EBITDA in FY26 and remain committed to delivering $10 billion TTV in FY30 at circa 50% EBITDA margins.

The team at Macquarie has been running the rule over the result. Let's see what it is saying about Web Travel and its shares.

What is the broker saying about Web Travel shares?

According to the note, the result was in line with Macquarie's expectations. It said:

WEB Travel Group UEBITDA of $121m was in line with guidance for $117-122m. WebBeds UEBITDA margins of 42.3% declined 830bps yoy due to TTV revenue margin degradation of 130bps to 6.7%.

The broker was also pleased to see that management is guiding to an improvement in its WebBeds underlying EBITDA margin in FY 2027. And while it still has doubts that this will be achieved, it is a step in the right direction. It adds:

WebBeds UEBITDA margin is now expected to return to c50% in FY27 (FY26 prior). In our view, this is a more realistic trajectory. It supports continued investment, which in turn should underpin TTV growth. As WEB's TTV scales further, UEBITDA margin will also benefit from operating leverage. We forecast FY27 WebBeds UEBITDA margin of 49.0%. This is slightly below WEB's c50% guidance given our TTV of FY27 TTV of $6.7bn is slightly below c$7bn expectation.

In response to these results, Macquarie has upgraded Web Travel's shares to an outperform rating and lifted its price target by 28% to $6.19 from $4.83 previously. Commenting on its upgrade, the broker said:

Upgrade to Outperform (from Neutral). We expect WEB will continue to scale TTV and are increasingly confident it will reach its $10bn FY30 target. Visibility concerning medium-term revenue and UEBITDA margins has improved. WEB should outperform other ASX travel peers in volatile macro conditions.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Web Travel Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Bored woman waiting for her flight at the airport.
Travel Shares

What does Macquarie think Corporate Travel Management shares are worth?

The broker has given its verdict on this suspended stock.

Read more »

A woman stands on a runway with her arms outstretched in excitement with a plane in the air having taken off.
Travel Shares

Are Qantas shares really a turnaround story? Here's what the numbers say

Qantas shares are back on the radar, but is the airline’s long-awaited turnaround finally beginning to take shape?

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

3-month suspension: What's going on with Corporate Travel shares?

Investor wealth has been tied up in this stock for months. Let's see what is going on.

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.
Earnings Results

Guess which ASX 200 stock is jumping 14% on record results

This travel technology company had a record half. Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Happy couple looking at a phone and waiting for their flight at an airport.
Travel Shares

Why this leading fundie forecasts a big uplift for Flight Centre shares

A leading fund manager believes Flight Centre shares are about to take off. But why?

Read more »

A woman on holiday stands with her arms outstretched joyously in an aeroplane cabin.
Travel Shares

How high could the bidding war for Webjet go?

Two companies have lobbed takeover bids for Webjet, but analysts believe yet another could enter the bidding war.

Read more »

A large plane rolls down a runway with a sunny blue sky behind it as brokers reveal their outlook for the Flight Centre share price in FY23
Travel Shares

This travel company has announced a takeover offer and an inaugural dividend on the same day

This travel bookings company is fielding a takeover offer amid difficult trading conditions for the sector.

Read more »

A large plane rolls down a runway with a sunny blue sky behind it as brokers reveal their outlook for the Flight Centre share price in FY23
Travel Shares

How high can Flight Centre shares fly? This prediction might be a pleasant surprise

Flight Centre shares are looking cheap following a strong start to the financial year, analysts say.

Read more »