Can Bank of Queensland shares keep outperforming the other ASX 200 bank stocks into 2026?

A leading expert offers his verdict on what's ahead for Bank of Queensland shares.

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Bank of Queensland Ltd (ASX: BOQ) shares have materially outperformed most every S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank stock over the past full year.

On Monday, Bank of Queensland stock closed down 0.26%, trading for $7.70 apiece.

That sees the stock up 32% over 12 months. And this doesn't include the 35 cents a share in fully franked dividends the bank paid eligible shareholders over this time. At yesterday's closing price, Bank of Queensland shares are trading on a fully franked trailing dividend yield of 4.6%.

The only ASX 200 bank stock to have beaten these stellar 12-month returns is Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA).

Closing at $173.88 a share on Monday, CBA shares are up 46% in a year. And Australia's biggest bank trades on a fully franked trailing dividend yield of 2.7%.

Of course, all those gains are in the rearview now.

Looking ahead, can Bank of Queensland keep charging ahead of most of its rivals?

For some greater insight into that million-dollar question, we defer to Ord Minnett's Tony Paterno (courtesy of The Bull).

Should I buy Bank of Queensland shares today?

"The bank's first half result in fiscal year 2025 was 3% ahead of consensus," Paterno said. "Statutory net profit after tax of $171 million was up 13% on the prior corresponding period."

But Paterno, who has a sell recommendation on Bank of Queensland shares, believes the ASX 200 bank is facing a more difficult stretch ahead.

"Investor focus remains on BOQ restructuring to a simpler specialist bank. Transformation to date is meeting targets, but we believe the execution risk remains high," he said.

Paterno concluded, "Delivering the revenue needed to achieve a return on equity of 8% appears optimistic, in our view."

What's the latest from the ASX 200 bank stock?

Bank of Queensland shares closed up 5.5% on 16 April, the day the company reported its half-year results.

Atop the big boost in NPAT that Paterno mentioned above, the bank's cash earnings after tax of $183 million were up 6% year on year, while its net interest margin (NIM) remained stable year on year at 1.57%.

And pleasing passive income investors, management boosted the fully franked interim dividend by 5.9%.

"We are making considerable progress transforming to a simpler, specialist bank with a superior customer experience through our digital platform and improved shareholder returns," CEO Patrick Allaway said of the results lifting Bank of Queensland shares on the day.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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