Guess which ASX 200 share is down 8% on earnings miss

Why are investors selling this stock? Let's dig deeper into things.

| More on:
A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Elders Ltd (ASX: ELD) share price is starting the week deep in the red.

In morning trade, the ASX 200 agribusiness company's shares are down 8% to $6.07.

Why is this ASX 200 share crashing?

Investors have been hitting the sell button on Monday in response to the release of the company's half year results.

For the six months ended 31 March, Elders reported a 5% increase in sales revenue to $1,413.1 million.

Things were even better for its underlying earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), which came in 67% higher than the prior corresponding period at $64.3 million.

Also rising strongly was its underlying profit after tax, which jumped 166% to $38.2 million.

The ASX 200 share advised that its performance recovered from a challenging prior corresponding period with most products and services achieving an uplift year on year.

It notes that higher livestock prices were a key driver, improving sentiment and production margins in the livestock industry. In addition, key acquisitions in Real Estate Services and strict cost management supported improved earnings.

This was despite gross margin decline from Retail Products due to ongoing dry conditions across parts of the country, which it warned has the potential to push demand for some winter crop inputs to the second half.

In light of its strong profit growth, the ASX 200 share has more than doubled its interim dividend to a 50% franked 21.4 cents per share from 9.1 cents per share a year ago.

Why the selling?

Given how strong Elders' result looks on paper, investors may be wondering why its shares are being sold off today.

Well, the reason for that is this earnings result was still short of expectations despite increasing strongly year on year.

For example, Citi was expecting the company to post EBIT of $75 million. This was a touch ahead of the consensus estimate of $73 million.

Elders' underlying EBIT came in at just $64.3 million for the six months.

Management commentary

The ASX 200 share's CEO, Mark Allison, said:

Elders has made steady progress on its financial and operational goals in the first half of FY25, reporting a 67% increase in underlying EBIT from the same time last year. Performance was impacted by prolonged dry conditions in some key cropping regions, causing lower rural products sales, but balanced by high demand and prices for livestock, which drove a significant improvement from the prior corresponding period and a strong first half overall.

Livestock prices and demand are expected to remain strong, and a return to average seasonal conditions for the 2025 winter crop is forecast. These are all positive indicators for our business going into the second half.

Outlook

No firm guidance was given for the full year. However, management notes that an average winter crop is forecast, despite a late start to sowing in parts of the country, which is partially mitigated by its extensive geographical presence.

It also points out that the outlook and fundamentals for Australian livestock remain sound with little impact anticipated from currently proposed tariffs. There is also potential for cattle and sheep saleyard prices to rise in the second half.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elders. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Industrials Shares

a small boy dressed in a superhero outfit soars into the sky with a graphic backdrop of a cityscape.
Industrials Shares

This ASX stock just hit an all-time high. Is there more upside ahead?

ALS shares hit a record high as earnings growth, dividends, and strong momentum keep investors interested.

Read more »

drone flying against backdrop of blue sky representing drone asx share price
Industrials Shares

Up 555% in a year. Is Droneshield the ASX's hottest stock or the riskiest?

Droneshield shares are up 555% in a year, but valuation concerns are starting to surface.

Read more »

A group of three builders wearing worker overalls and carrying hard hats in their hands jumps jubilantly atopa rooftop space on a commercial building with an airconditioner shaft in the background and the sun behind a light cloud behind them.
Industrials Shares

James Hardie shares lift off on $25 million cost saving initiatives

James Hardie aims to shave $25 million a year from its operating costs. But how?

Read more »

Busy freeway and tollway at dusk
Industrials Shares

This high-yield ASX dividend stock is near its 52-week low – is it a buy?

The toll-road operator's high dividend comes with a warning.

Read more »

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.
Industrials Shares

Why investors are watching this ASX defence stock today

This ASX defence stock is in focus today after announcing a major counter-drone acquisition.

Read more »

Many cars travell on a busy six lane road way with other cars in the background travelling in the opposite direction, going the other way.dway
Industrials Shares

Why did Morgans just downgrade its view on this ASX industrials stock?

Is this toll road operator worth buying?

Read more »

Submarine under water.
Industrials Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords stock is rocketing today on AUKUS partnership development news

Investors are piling into this ASX All Ords stock today. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Three happy industrial engineers analysing the share price.
Industrials Shares

5 best ASX 200 industrial shares of 2025

Industrials was the second-best performer of the 11 ASX 200 market sectors in 2025.

Read more »