Why are Harvey Norman shares sliding today?

What's happening with the ASX 200 furniture and electronics retailer today?

| More on:
Woman checking out new laptops.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN) shares are trading 2.68% lower at $4.91 per share on Wednesday.

There is no news from the ASX 200 electronics and home furnishings retailer today.

Therefore, Harvey Norman shares are likely trading lower because the stock has gone ex-dividend today.

Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.2% as it rides on the tailcoats of yesterday's interest rate decision.

In line with market expectations, the Reserve Bank decided to keep interest rates on hold.

Despite the market anticipating this call, the ASX 200 received a late-afternoon lift following the news.

Harvey Norman shares to pay boosted dividend

Harvey Norman is rewarding shareholders with a 20% higher interim dividend this year.

The ASX 200 consumer discretionary stock will pay investors 12 cents per share, fully franked, on 1 May.

The boosted dividend follows a 6.6% year-over-year increase in revenue to $2.29 billion, according to the 1H FY25 report.

The revenue bump contributed to a 22.9% lift in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to $581 million and a 41.2% increase in reported profit before tax (PBT) to $400 million.

The underlying PBT rose 2.2% to $311 million.

Commenting on the results, Chair Gerry Harvey said:

We have made significant strides in enhancing our digital, online, and in-store experiences, alongside the strategic expansion of our global store network and targeted investments in key segments.

What's the retail climate like?

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the retail trade report for February yesterday.

Australian retail turnover rose by 0.2% in February, according to seasonally adjusted figures.

However, spending on household goods fell 0.3% in February, compounding a 4.4% fall in January.

Robert Ewing, ABS head of business statistics, said:

Following promotion-based growth across the December quarter, spending on household goods continued to moderate with lower discretionary spending to begin the year.

As my colleague Laura explains, the ASX consumer discretionary sector typically benefits from falling interest rates.

Lower interest rates mean consumers have more disposable income to spend on discretionary goods such as furniture and electronics.

The RBA cut interest rates for the first time since November 2020 in February, and many economists expect more cuts this year.

Despite this positive economic situation, top broker Goldman Sachs worries that Harvey Norman may experience softer growth.

In a recent note, the broker said:

… we remain of the view that rising competition and a lagging presence in omni-channel as well as an older demographic skew may result in lagging growth in sales vs key industry peers.

Goldman Sachs has a sell rating on Harvey Norman shares with a 12-month price target of $4.30.

However, Bell Potter is bullish on Harvey Norman shares.

The broker has a buy rating and a 12-month share price target of $6.

Bell Potter analysts tip Harvey Norman to pay fully franked dividends of 25.4 cents per share in FY25 and 28.1 cents per share in FY26.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Young girl drinking milk showing off muscles.
Dividend Investing

Up 41% in 2025, how this ASX 200 dividend stock is primed for 'continuing growth'

A leading expert expects ongoing growth from this high-flying ASX 200 dividend stock.

Read more »

Happy couple doing online shopping.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What are Macquarie's top 3 ASX stock picks in the consumer sector?

These are the brokers top picks from this side of the market.

Read more »

Anxious people gambling
Earnings Results

Star Entertainment share price leaps…then crashes on first day of trade since February

Star Entertainment shares are trading on the ASX once more today. And they’re plenty volatile!

Read more »

Family shopping for groceries
Dividend Investing

Should I buy Woolworths shares for the 4% dividend yield?

Woolworths shares even delivered two fully franked dividends during the pandemic-addled year of 2020.

Read more »

A person in the dark background of a casino gambling room places his hands either side of a large pile of casino chips.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How will the latest news from Star Entertainment affect your ASX shares?

The casino operator's biggest shareholder will subscribe for a third of Bally's $300 million takeover offer.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Macquarie forecasts a 92% upside for this beaten down ASX 200 stock

Macquarie expects a BIG turnaround for this ASX 200 stock in the months ahead.

Read more »

A photo of a young couple who are purchasing fruits and vegetables at a market shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Should I buy Coles shares today amid the Trump tariff market tantrum?

Coles shares have smashed the benchmark returns over the past year. Can this continue?

Read more »

A gambler at a casino bets a pile of chips on one number
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Own Star Entertainment shares? Here are the takeover details and when you'll get to vote

Star Entertainment has released details of the takeover deal with US casino giant Bally's.

Read more »