Why are Harvey Norman shares sliding today?

What's happening with the ASX 200 furniture and electronics retailer today?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN) shares are trading 2.68% lower at $4.91 per share on Wednesday.

There is no news from the ASX 200 electronics and home furnishings retailer today.

Therefore, Harvey Norman shares are likely trading lower because the stock has gone ex-dividend today.

Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.2% as it rides on the tailcoats of yesterday's interest rate decision.

In line with market expectations, the Reserve Bank decided to keep interest rates on hold.

Despite the market anticipating this call, the ASX 200 received a late-afternoon lift following the news.

Woman checking out new laptops.

Image source: Getty Images

Harvey Norman shares to pay boosted dividend

Harvey Norman is rewarding shareholders with a 20% higher interim dividend this year.

The ASX 200 consumer discretionary stock will pay investors 12 cents per share, fully franked, on 1 May.

The boosted dividend follows a 6.6% year-over-year increase in revenue to $2.29 billion, according to the 1H FY25 report.

The revenue bump contributed to a 22.9% lift in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to $581 million and a 41.2% increase in reported profit before tax (PBT) to $400 million.

The underlying PBT rose 2.2% to $311 million.

Commenting on the results, Chair Gerry Harvey said:

We have made significant strides in enhancing our digital, online, and in-store experiences, alongside the strategic expansion of our global store network and targeted investments in key segments.

What's the retail climate like?

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the retail trade report for February yesterday.

Australian retail turnover rose by 0.2% in February, according to seasonally adjusted figures.

However, spending on household goods fell 0.3% in February, compounding a 4.4% fall in January.

Robert Ewing, ABS head of business statistics, said:

Following promotion-based growth across the December quarter, spending on household goods continued to moderate with lower discretionary spending to begin the year.

As my colleague Laura explains, the ASX consumer discretionary sector typically benefits from falling interest rates.

Lower interest rates mean consumers have more disposable income to spend on discretionary goods such as furniture and electronics.

The RBA cut interest rates for the first time since November 2020 in February, and many economists expect more cuts this year.

Despite this positive economic situation, top broker Goldman Sachs worries that Harvey Norman may experience softer growth.

In a recent note, the broker said:

… we remain of the view that rising competition and a lagging presence in omni-channel as well as an older demographic skew may result in lagging growth in sales vs key industry peers.

Goldman Sachs has a sell rating on Harvey Norman shares with a 12-month price target of $4.30.

However, Bell Potter is bullish on Harvey Norman shares.

The broker has a buy rating and a 12-month share price target of $6.

Bell Potter analysts tip Harvey Norman to pay fully franked dividends of 25.4 cents per share in FY25 and 28.1 cents per share in FY26.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Three women laughing and enjoying their gambling winnings while sitting at a poker machine.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How high does Macquarie think this gaming stock will go?

Profit is expected to build throughout the year.

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

3 brokers weigh in on how high Premier Investments shares could go

A strategic reset of the business could have it primed for growth.

Read more »

Image of a shopping centre.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A $500 million deal just dropped for Woolworths. Here's what investors need to know

Woolworths sells $500 million in shopping centres to unlock capital.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies it.
52-Week Lows

Treasury Wine shares just tumbled to 14-year lows. Screaming bargain or falling knife?

Trading at 14-year lows, are Treasury Wine shares poised for a rebound?

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A rare buying opportunity for this ASX 200 stock as it rebounds from a historic low

Analysts are expecting big things from this beaten-down ASX 200 stock.

Read more »

One girl leapfrogs over her friend's back.
Growth Shares

This dirt cheap ASX retail stock is tipped to double in value

Better execution and easing pressures could spark a powerful rebound.

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Which ASX retail stock could soar more than 100% if this broker is right?

A solid first half result has set this business up to win.

Read more »

A man on a phone call points his finger, indicating a halt in trading on the ASX share market.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Trading halt, delayed results, and a capital raise: Why this ASX retail stock is under pressure

KMD shares fall after an earnings delay and equity raise announcement.

Read more »