Why BHP and this ASX dividend stock could rise 20%+

It isn't just growth shares that could deliver big returns. Analysts think these income stocks could too.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There are a lot of ASX dividend stocks for investors to choose from on the Australian share market.

One of the most popular out there is BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), but would it be a good option for income investors right now?

Let's see what analysts are saying about the mining giant and another stock. Here's what you need to know:

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

BHP Group

Mining behemoth BHP could be an ASX dividend stock to buy according to analysts at Goldman Sachs.

This is largely due to its exposure to in-demand metal, copper. The broker believes copper is going to become very important to BHP's earnings in the coming years as it looks to grow its production to take advantage of supply side challenges. Commenting on the company, the broker said:

We remain bullish on copper due to ongoing supply side challenges and increasing demand, and expect BHP's copper EBITDA to increase by ~US$5bn to ~US$13bn by FY26 (~45% of group EBITDA). Under our base case, copper EBITDA is expected to reach ~US$17bn by FY35, at GSe long run copper of ~US$4.6/lb (real $, from 2028).

Goldman expects this to underpin dividends per share of 102 US cents in FY 2025 and then 112 US cents in FY 2026. Based on the current BHP share price of $38.20, this equates to fully franked dividend yields of 4.25% and 4.7%, respectively.

Goldman also sees significant upside for its shares with its buy rating and $47.30 price target. This suggests that they could rise almost 24% over the next 12 months.

Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1)

Another ASX dividend stock that could be a buy according to analysts is Accent Group.

It is the footwear retailer behind store brands such as HypeDC, Platypus, The Athlete's Foot, Style Runner, and Sneaker Lab. It also has a growing exposure to the youth fashion market with Glue Store and Nude Lucy.

Bell Potter thinks it would be a great option for income investors at current levels. So much so, it has named the company as a key pick. It said:

We continue to view AX1 as a key pick in our retail sector coverage given their scale as Australia's market leader, growth adjacencies in both footwear/apparel from exclusive partnerships & TAF channel conversion, and growing vertical brand strategy led by Nude Lucy.

As for income, the broker is forecasting fully franked dividends of 13.7 cents per share in FY 2025 and then 15.6 cents per share in FY 2026. Based on its latest share price of $1.80, this equates to dividend yields of 7.6% and 8.6%, respectively.

Bell Potter has a buy rating and $2.75 price target on Accent's shares, which implies potential upside of 53% for investors from current levels.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Accent Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group and BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Dividend Investing

I invested thousands into these 2 ASX dividend shares this week

I’ve been investing heavily into these two names.

Read more »

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Dividend Investing

How many NAB shares do I need to buy for $10,000 a year in passive income?

NAB shares historically pay two fully-franked dividends every year.

Read more »

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Dividend Investing

8% yield: The ASX is getting a new dividend stock that pays out monthly

This soon-to-be stock has averaged an 8% yield since 2016...

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
Dividend Investing

How many BHP shares do I need to $1,000 of passive income?

Let's run the numbers and find out what is needed.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Where to invest $2,000 in ASX dividend shares

Morgans thinks these shares are buys with attractive forecast dividend yields.

Read more »

a woman puts a pen to her mouth as she smiles slightly while checking an old book style diary/calendar.
Dividend Investing

20 ASX shares with ex-dividend dates next week

To be eligible to receive a dividend, you must own the ASX share before the ex-dividend date.

Read more »

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Dividend Investing

Everything you need to know about the latest Soul Patts dividend

Here’s how big the latest dividend is from the investment house…

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Fund manager names 3 top ASX 200 dividend stocks to buy today

A leading fund manager expects these quality ASX dividend stocks will boost their payouts.

Read more »