Why BHP and this ASX dividend stock could rise 20%+

It isn't just growth shares that could deliver big returns. Analysts think these income stocks could too.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There are a lot of ASX dividend stocks for investors to choose from on the Australian share market.

One of the most popular out there is BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), but would it be a good option for income investors right now?

Let's see what analysts are saying about the mining giant and another stock. Here's what you need to know:

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

BHP Group

Mining behemoth BHP could be an ASX dividend stock to buy according to analysts at Goldman Sachs.

This is largely due to its exposure to in-demand metal, copper. The broker believes copper is going to become very important to BHP's earnings in the coming years as it looks to grow its production to take advantage of supply side challenges. Commenting on the company, the broker said:

We remain bullish on copper due to ongoing supply side challenges and increasing demand, and expect BHP's copper EBITDA to increase by ~US$5bn to ~US$13bn by FY26 (~45% of group EBITDA). Under our base case, copper EBITDA is expected to reach ~US$17bn by FY35, at GSe long run copper of ~US$4.6/lb (real $, from 2028).

Goldman expects this to underpin dividends per share of 102 US cents in FY 2025 and then 112 US cents in FY 2026. Based on the current BHP share price of $38.20, this equates to fully franked dividend yields of 4.25% and 4.7%, respectively.

Goldman also sees significant upside for its shares with its buy rating and $47.30 price target. This suggests that they could rise almost 24% over the next 12 months.

Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1)

Another ASX dividend stock that could be a buy according to analysts is Accent Group.

It is the footwear retailer behind store brands such as HypeDC, Platypus, The Athlete's Foot, Style Runner, and Sneaker Lab. It also has a growing exposure to the youth fashion market with Glue Store and Nude Lucy.

Bell Potter thinks it would be a great option for income investors at current levels. So much so, it has named the company as a key pick. It said:

We continue to view AX1 as a key pick in our retail sector coverage given their scale as Australia's market leader, growth adjacencies in both footwear/apparel from exclusive partnerships & TAF channel conversion, and growing vertical brand strategy led by Nude Lucy.

As for income, the broker is forecasting fully franked dividends of 13.7 cents per share in FY 2025 and then 15.6 cents per share in FY 2026. Based on its latest share price of $1.80, this equates to dividend yields of 7.6% and 8.6%, respectively.

Bell Potter has a buy rating and $2.75 price target on Accent's shares, which implies potential upside of 53% for investors from current levels.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Accent Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group and BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Man holding fifty Australian Dollar banknotes in his hands, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 top ASX dividend share buys for passive income in April

These are my top picks for dividends right now.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Are CBA shares still a good buy for passive income?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on CBA’s passive income appeal.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Dividend Investing

2 defensive ASX dividend stocks for reliable income

I'd have these two defensive dividend shares in my portfolio to help hedge against sharemarket volatility.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 and $20 notes.
Dividend Investing

21 ASX shares going ex-dividend over the school holidays

Shares going ex-dividend include Myer and Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company.

Read more »

Person handing out $100 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Dividend Investing

$500 buys 148 shares in this 11% yielding ASX income stock!

I'd add this ASX income stock to my portfolio.

Read more »

A retiree relaxing in the pool and giving a thumbs up.
Dividend Investing

Looking for long-term passive income? Try one of these ASX shares

These businesses are on track to provide investors with ultra-long-term income.

Read more »

A man in a business suit stands on top of an office chair in a sea of murky water with shark fins circling.
Dividend Investing

Thinking of buying WAM Capital shares for the 9% dividend yield? Read this first

Look before you leap into this dividend stock.

Read more »

Person with a handful of Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend share and 1 ASX growth stock to buy in April

These ASX shares deliver a one-two punch: income now, growth later.

Read more »