Domino's shares: Buy, sell, or hold?

Should I buy Domino's shares today or wait for a confirmed turnaround?

| More on:
ASX 200 shares broker downgrade origami paper fortune teller with buy hold sell and dollar sign options

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you ask three investment experts their opinion on Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) shares, you may well get three different answers.

Indeed, of the 17 analyst recommendations listed on CommSec, four have Domino's stock as a strong buy, three as a moderate buy, six as a hold, one as a moderate sell, and three as a strong sell.

With earnings and profits under pressure since the boom times of 2021, when pizza delivery demand soared amid the pandemic stay at home orders, Domino's shares have crashed 83% from their September 2021 all-time highs.

Over the past 12 months, the share price is down 37%, closing yesterday at $27.01.

Though those losses have been partly mitigated by the $1.06 a share in unfranked dividends the company has paid out to eligible investors over the full year.

That's a look in the rearview.

The big question now is, has the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fast-food pizza retailer managed to turn the corner on its slumping sales, or is there more pain ahead?

The sell case for the ASX 200 pizza retailer

Shaw and Partners' Jed Richards counts among the investment pros with a sell recommendation on Domino's shares (courtesy of The Bull).

"Shares in the fast food giant have fallen from $36 on February 10 to trade at $26.59 on March 20," Richards said.

Turning to the company's half-year results, Richards noted:

Underlying group earnings before interest and tax of $100.6 million in the first half of fiscal year 2025 were down 6.7% on the prior corresponding period. Network sales were down 2.9% and same store sales fell 0.6%.

Challenges in Japan and France are impacting group performance. Markets in Asia and Europe are struggling.

And Richards doesn't believe the recovery for Domino's shares is in the bag just yet.

"Investor confidence has been impacted and a recovery in performance will take time," he said. "Other stocks are more appealing at this stage of the cycle."

The buy case for Domino's shares

As mentioned up top, there's a lot of divergence among the experts when it comes to Domino's stock right now.

Among those with a bullish outlook for Domino's is Family Financial Solutions' Jabin Hallihan.

After the steep sell-down in Domino's shares in the latter weeks of February, which followed the initial investor exuberance on a positive 7 February trading update, Hallihan said, "In our view, the shares are significantly undervalued and present an opportunity to buy Domino's at a discount."

Goldman Sachs is also optimistic on the outlook for the ASX 200 pizza retailer.

Following the company's half-year results, Goldman reiterated its buy rating on Domino's shares with a slightly reduced target price of $37.30.

That represents a potential upside of 38% from Wednesday's closing price of $27.01 a share, not including those upcoming dividends.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Young girl drinking milk showing off muscles.
Dividend Investing

Up 41% in 2025, how this ASX 200 dividend stock is primed for 'continuing growth'

A leading expert expects ongoing growth from this high-flying ASX 200 dividend stock.

Read more »

Happy couple doing online shopping.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What are Macquarie's top 3 ASX stock picks in the consumer sector?

These are the brokers top picks from this side of the market.

Read more »

Anxious people gambling
Earnings Results

Star Entertainment share price leaps…then crashes on first day of trade since February

Star Entertainment shares are trading on the ASX once more today. And they’re plenty volatile!

Read more »

Family shopping for groceries
Dividend Investing

Should I buy Woolworths shares for the 4% dividend yield?

Woolworths shares even delivered two fully franked dividends during the pandemic-addled year of 2020.

Read more »

A person in the dark background of a casino gambling room places his hands either side of a large pile of casino chips.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How will the latest news from Star Entertainment affect your ASX shares?

The casino operator's biggest shareholder will subscribe for a third of Bally's $300 million takeover offer.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Macquarie forecasts a 92% upside for this beaten down ASX 200 stock

Macquarie expects a BIG turnaround for this ASX 200 stock in the months ahead.

Read more »

A photo of a young couple who are purchasing fruits and vegetables at a market shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Should I buy Coles shares today amid the Trump tariff market tantrum?

Coles shares have smashed the benchmark returns over the past year. Can this continue?

Read more »

A gambler at a casino bets a pile of chips on one number
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Own Star Entertainment shares? Here are the takeover details and when you'll get to vote

Star Entertainment has released details of the takeover deal with US casino giant Bally's.

Read more »