Domino's shares: Buy, sell, or hold?

Should I buy Domino's shares today or wait for a confirmed turnaround?

| More on:
ASX 200 shares broker downgrade origami paper fortune teller with buy hold sell and dollar sign options

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you ask three investment experts their opinion on Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) shares, you may well get three different answers.

Indeed, of the 17 analyst recommendations listed on CommSec, four have Domino's stock as a strong buy, three as a moderate buy, six as a hold, one as a moderate sell, and three as a strong sell.

With earnings and profits under pressure since the boom times of 2021, when pizza delivery demand soared amid the pandemic stay at home orders, Domino's shares have crashed 83% from their September 2021 all-time highs.

Over the past 12 months, the share price is down 37%, closing yesterday at $27.01.

Though those losses have been partly mitigated by the $1.06 a share in unfranked dividends the company has paid out to eligible investors over the full year.

That's a look in the rearview.

The big question now is, has the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fast-food pizza retailer managed to turn the corner on its slumping sales, or is there more pain ahead?

The sell case for the ASX 200 pizza retailer

Shaw and Partners' Jed Richards counts among the investment pros with a sell recommendation on Domino's shares (courtesy of The Bull).

"Shares in the fast food giant have fallen from $36 on February 10 to trade at $26.59 on March 20," Richards said.

Turning to the company's half-year results, Richards noted:

Underlying group earnings before interest and tax of $100.6 million in the first half of fiscal year 2025 were down 6.7% on the prior corresponding period. Network sales were down 2.9% and same store sales fell 0.6%.

Challenges in Japan and France are impacting group performance. Markets in Asia and Europe are struggling.

And Richards doesn't believe the recovery for Domino's shares is in the bag just yet.

"Investor confidence has been impacted and a recovery in performance will take time," he said. "Other stocks are more appealing at this stage of the cycle."

The buy case for Domino's shares

As mentioned up top, there's a lot of divergence among the experts when it comes to Domino's stock right now.

Among those with a bullish outlook for Domino's is Family Financial Solutions' Jabin Hallihan.

After the steep sell-down in Domino's shares in the latter weeks of February, which followed the initial investor exuberance on a positive 7 February trading update, Hallihan said, "In our view, the shares are significantly undervalued and present an opportunity to buy Domino's at a discount."

Goldman Sachs is also optimistic on the outlook for the ASX 200 pizza retailer.

Following the company's half-year results, Goldman reiterated its buy rating on Domino's shares with a slightly reduced target price of $37.30.

That represents a potential upside of 38% from Wednesday's closing price of $27.01 a share, not including those upcoming dividends.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies it.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Treasury Wine shares keep the good times flowing

Brokers warn that the current lift is likely to be fragile.

Read more »

A man pushes a supermarket trolley with phone in hand down a supermarket aisle looking at the products on the shelves.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Are Coles or Woolworths shares a better buy in 2026?

Which supermarket giant is the better buy this year?

Read more »

Young fruit picker clipping bunch of grapes in vineyard.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down over 50%, is this the ASX 200's greatest recovery share for 2026?

After a brutal year, Treasury Wine shares have been deeply sold off. Is a recovery starting to take shape for…

Read more »

A car dealer stands amid a selection of cars parked in a showroom.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

This ASX All Ords stock edges lower as investors digest key milestone

After completing a major acquisition, this ASX All Ords stock is back in focus as investors assess the next phase.

Read more »

A little boy surrounded by green grass and trees looks up at the sky, waiting for rain or sunshine.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is Cobram Estate rocketing 17% today?

Cobram Estate shares jump 17% today after a broker upgrade and renewed confidence in its US growth plans.

Read more »

A young farnmer raise his arms to the sky as he stands in a lush field of wheat or farmland.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

These agricultural stocks are fundamentally undervalued, Bell Potter says

Bell Potter has named three stocks in the agricultural sector that it believes to be fundamentally undervalued.

Read more »

A baby's eyes open wide in surprise as it sucks on a milk bottle.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why this ASX small-cap share is back in focus after a US market update

A fresh US update has put Bubs shares back on investors’ radars as FDA approval moves closer and sales continue.

Read more »

Cork popping out of wine bottle.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Treasury Wine shares pile on the gains after French billionaire buys in

Treasury Wine Estates shares are enjoying some support on the news.

Read more »