ASX 200 data centre stock sinks 5% to a 52-week low on results day

A solid result hasn't been given much love by the market this morning.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Nextdc Ltd (ASX: NXT) share price is under pressure on Monday.

At the time of writing, the ASX 200 data centre stock is down 5% to a 52-week low of $13.73.

This follows broad market weakness and the release of its half year results this morning.

A woman scratches her head in dismay as she looks at a chaotic scene at a data centre.

Image source: Getty Images

NextDC share price falls on results day

  • Net revenue up 13% to $167.8 million
  • Underlying EBITDA up 3% to $105.4 million
  • Capital investments of $1,003 million
  • Contracted utilisation up 18% to 176MW

What happened during the half?

For the six months ended 31 December, NextDC reported a 13% increase in net revenue to $167.8 million and a 3% lift in underlying EBITDA to $105.4 million. This was underpinned by an 18% increase in contract utilisation to 176MW.

The good news is that management revealed that its forward order book currently stands at 83.0MW, which is expected to ramp into billing across FY 2025 to FY 2029, underpinning future growth in revenues and earnings.

In light of this, the ASX 200 data centre stock appears to believe that strong total shareholder returns (TSR) could be on the way for investors and wants to incentivise its management team to deliver on this.

Growth Incentive Plan

NextDC has announced a Growth Incentive Plan (GIP) for the company's CEO and managing director, Craig Scroggie, and executives. This aims to support NextDC's next phase of strategic growth that is intended to drive and reward outperformance and sustainable shareholder value creation.

The GIP is a one-off award of GIP rights with an aggregate face value of $150 million, designed to enable meaningful participation in the outperformance of returns to shareholders over a five-year period.

The full vesting of the GIP rights is subject to an absolute TSR hurdle of at least 17.5% per annum measured from the release of these results through to shortly after the release of the company's FY 2030 half year results in February 2030.

The ASX 200 data centre stock highlights that the GIP will "ensure that the Company retains and attracts high-calibre executives by providing rewards that are competitive with international and privately-owned technology and data centre peers."

How does the result compare to expectations?

Goldman Sachs has been running the rule over the result. It was pleased with the numbers provided, but highlights that NextDC's capital expenditure was well ahead of consensus estimates. This could be what is weighing on its share price today. It said:

NXT reported 1H25 Sales/EBITDA/NPAT of A$206mn/A$105mn/-A$23mn, that was +0%/-1%/+$12mn vs. GSe, with EBITDA +1% vs. VAe. Cash conversion was marginally stronger (GOCF = 88% of underlying EBITDA in 1H25, vs. 79% in 1H24), while 1H25 capex of A$995mn was ahead of GSe A$734mn, and well ahead of VAe A$548mn, with available liquidity decreasing to A$2.5bn (Jun-24 A$2.7bn).

Guidance

The ASX 200 data centre stock has reaffirmed its guidance for FY 2025. It continues to forecast net revenue of $340 million to $350 million, underlying EBITDA of $210 million to $220 million, and capex of $1,300 million to $1,500 million.

Mr Scroggie said:

NEXTDC's robust first-half performance shows that the Company is firmly on course to achieve its key revenue and underlying EBITDA targets. With continued operational momentum, we expect to deliver another strong operating and financial performance in FY25 and remain well placed to capitalise on growth opportunities and support customers' expanding needs.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Nextdc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Technology Shares

Have these top ASX shares been sold off too far?

AI uncertainty has shaken confidence in software stocks, but long-term fundamentals may still be intact.

Read more »

A young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Technology Shares

This dirt cheap ASX 200 tech stock could rise 70%

Bell Potter is tipping this technology share to rise strongly from here.

Read more »

A man flying a drone using a remote controller
Technology Shares

Is now a good time to invest $5,000 into DroneShield shares?

A leadership change and recent pullback have shifted sentiment, but the long-term opportunity remains.

Read more »

Military engineer works on drone.
Technology Shares

Will EOS shares ever go back to $5?

Is the $5 level still in play for EOS shares?

Read more »

A smiling man leans out his car window, car keys in hand and looking happy.
Technology Shares

Here's why this $9 billion ASX tech share could be a buy right now

The tech company has a dominant position and a long growth runway.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Technology Shares

Why are Pro Medicus shares outperforming the market on Monday?

This tech stock is on the move on Monday after announcing another contract win.

Read more »

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.
Technology Shares

The ASX 200 shares I think smart investors are buying after the tech selloff

The recent pullback has changed the conversation around several ASX 200 growth shares.

Read more »

Smiling young parents with their daughter dream of success.
Technology Shares

Here's why Life360 shares could rise a massive 75%

Big returns could be coming for buyers of this tech stock according to Bell Potter.

Read more »