How to boost your chances of positive returns in the stock market

We look at two simple ways investors can boost their chances of success in the stock market.

Investor happily looking at rising share price on laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Investing your hard-earned money in the stock market is historically an excellent path towards building long-term wealth.

But there are no guarantees.

Some stocks can surge and double your money, or more, very quickly.

Like Synlait Milk Ltd (ASX: SM1). Shares in the dairy processing company are up 161% in just six months.

Of course, you may have thought Cettire Ltd (ASX: CTT) stock looked appealing following the strong performance in 2023. But shares in the online luxury goods retailer have crashed 76% since last March.

So, the first thing you can do to boost your long-term returns in the stock market is to diversify. Try to build a portfolio of at least a dozen different shares operating in various market sectors and locations. This will reduce the risk of your entire portfolio taking a big hit if a single company or sector comes under pressure.

The second thing you can do to help boost your chances of success in the stock market is to think long-term.

Like legendary investor Warren Buffett said, "Our favourite holding period is forever."

Buffett also advised, "Embrace what's boring, think long-term, and ignore the ups-and-downs."

Which brings us to the latest research analysis from eToro, which shows how loyalty is as important in investing as it is in relationships.

Patience counts in the stock market

According to the data from eToro, holding the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX) for one year gives you a 72% chance of a positive return. That increases to 87% over 10 years, while holding your investment in the stock market for 20 years ups your chances of a positive return to 95%.

While eToro's data doesn't include the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), a similar pattern was evident in the United Kingdom's stock market. Achieving a positive outcome on the FTSE 100 rose from 66% in one year to 83% over 20 years.

Commenting on the data, Josh Gilbert, market analyst at eToro, said:

As the saying goes, time in the market beats timing the market. That's very clear from our new data and it goes to show why letting emotions take over in markets isn't a smart idea. Let's just say that selling at the first sign of a 'red flag' might not be the best choice when it comes to investing.

Gilbert added that when investing in the stock market, you should be aware of your time horizon:

It's really important for investors to understand their time horizons, this can make a difference between flirting or finding that long-term connection. Flirting in financial markets comes with risks, but making that long-term commitment is more likely to be rewarding.

So, how about investing in those stocks that you're just convinced will double your money?

"Just because there was an initial attraction, doesn't mean it will blossom into a long-term love story," Gilbert cautioned. "Although thematic investing can be a great strategy when investing, it's important not to get too love-struck and remember to call it a day before things go sour."

The rapid rise and equally rapid fall of some companies in the stock market during the COVID pandemic offer prime examples.

Stocks like Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ: ZM) and Peloton Interactive Inc (NASDAQ: PTON) roared higher during the lockdowns. But they have since come crashing back to earth and continue to underperform the wider stock market.

"By contrast, even companies with strong fundamentals, a competitive edge and growth potential supported by long-term macro trends can go through rocky periods," Gilbert said.

"Investors who stand by them through thick and thin may ultimately be rewarded for their patience and commitment," he added.

He noted that Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO), for example, saw its share price crash 53% from January to March 2020 but recovered 1,450% by the time of its all-time high in January 2025.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Peloton Interactive and Zoom Communications. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Broadcom. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Zoom Communications. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on How to invest

Suncorp share price Businessman cheering and smiling on smartphone
How to invest

How to invest your first $1,000 in the share market the smart way

My first investment would look something like this if I were starting again.

Read more »

Beautiful young couple enjoying in shopping, symbolising passive income.
How to invest

The smart way to make a $25,000 passive income from ASX shares

This could be the smart way to make your money work for you.

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
How to invest

$20,000 in savings? Here's how you can use that to target an $8,000 yearly second income

Having $20,000 saved is more powerful than most people realise. Not because $20,000 can produce an income today, but because…

Read more »

A smiling woman with a handful of $100 notes, indicating strong dividend payments
How to invest

How to turn $50 a week into a six-figure ASX share portfolio

Small investments could grow into big wealth with this strategy.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
How to invest

Why today's cheap ASX shares could double my money during the next bull market

These shares could be the ones to buy if you are looking for undervalued options.

Read more »

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
How to invest

The 10-year wealth plan: how to turn small savings into life-changing results

Building wealth doesn't need to be hard. Here's a simple plan you can follow.

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.
How to invest

I'd listen to Warren Buffett's advice to buy undervalued ASX shares today

The Oracle of Omaha knows a good deal when he sees one.

Read more »

Concept image of man holding up a falling arrow with a shield.
How to invest

Is the S&P 500 set for a crash? Here's my plan for the US stock market

No one can predict when the next crash will come.

Read more »