Why this $2.3 billion ASX 200 mining stock just crashed 9%

Investors have been quick to hit the sell button today. But why?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Iluka Resources Ltd (ASX: ILU) share price is being hit hard on Wednesday.

In morning trade, the $2.3 billion ASX 200 mining stock is down 9% to $4.84.

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is this ASX 200 mining stock crashing?

This mineral sands company's shares have come under pressure today after it released its fourth quarter update.

According to the release, production of zircon/rutile/synthetic rutile (Z/R/SR) in the fourth quarter of FY 2024 was 129kt. This comprises 45kt of zircon sand, 15kt of zircon-in-concentrate (ZIC), and 58kt of synthetic rutile.

This meant that Z/R/SR production was 496kt for FY 2024. While this is down 22.4% year on year, it exceeds the guidance issued in February of 455kt. This outperformance was due to increased ZIC and a strong synthetic rutile kiln performance.

Sales and earnings

Z/R/SR sales in the fourth quarter of FY 2024 were 136kt. Management advised that this reflects subdued demand in key markets and seasonality. Full year Z/R/SR sales were 475.2kt, down 3.8% on FY 2023's sales volumes.

This ultimately led to an 8.9% decline in mineral sands revenue to $1,128 million for the 12 months.

And with the ASX 200 mining stock revealing a 3% increase in its total cash cost of production, its earnings will be even lower than revenue in FY 2024.

Iluka expects FY 2024 group earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), excluding the Deterra contribution, to be in the range of $330 million to $340 million. This will be down significantly on the group EBIT of $492.3 million recorded in FY 2023. Though, this includes a $27.3 million contribution from Deterra.

Outlook

Management is guiding to relatively flat production and higher costs in FY 2025.

The ASX 200 mining stock expects total Z/R/SR production of 495kt and unit cash costs of production of $1,370 per tonne.

Commenting on its outlook, management said:

Iluka's production outlook for 2025 assumes only the larger synthetic rutile kiln, SR2, is in operation. The company has an ability to increase synthetic rutile production by restarting the smaller swing kiln, SR1, to produce an additional 110ktpa of synthetic rutile, should market conditions warrant.

Increase in cash costs of production from 2024 predominantly reflects an additional $25 million included for production of HMC from Balranald in H2 2025, which will be capitalised to inventory in 2025. There are no finished goods produced in 2025 from Balranald, resulting in a distortion to the unit cash costs of production metric.

All in all, it looks likely to be another tough 12 months for the miner and its shareholders.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A smiling man wearing a collared blue shirt and black jacket holds a piece of black rock containing rare earths.
Materials Shares

This major update just sent Lynas shares higher today

Lynas shares rise after announcing a key rare earth production milestone.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium shares tumble after $120m capital raising for Finniss restart

It won't be long until the company is producing lithium again.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Materials Shares

Top broker names 3 ASX rare earths stocks to buy

Let's see which stocks could benefit from strong prices.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Materials Shares

What does a change of CEO mean for the BHP share price?

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is rising on Wednesday. In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are…

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.
Materials Shares

$10,000 invested in BHP shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Was it a good idea to buy the mining giant's shares five years ago?

Read more »

A white EV car and an electric vehicle pump with green highlighted swirls representing ASX lithium shares
Materials Shares

This ASX lithium stock is slipping, but brokers see 135%+ gains

Analysts remain highly bullish on the long-term outlook.

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Rio Tinto shares charge higher on big copper news

The Resolution Copper project was given a major boost today.

Read more »

Stock market crash concept of young man screaming at laptop on the sofa.
Materials Shares

Why the IperionX share price just crashed 22% today

Investors dump IperionX shares after its recent results spark heavy selling.

Read more »