1 magnificent Australian dividend stock down 30% to hold for years to come

Goldman Sachs is forecasting a growing stream of dividends from this buy-rated stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Not all Australian dividend stocks have risen with the market over the past 12 months.

For example, the ASX share in this article has lost almost 30% of its value since this time last year and trades within sight of a 52-week low.

As a comparison, the ASX 200 index has raced over 12% higher during the same period and sits within reach of a record high.

One leading broker believes this could have created a very attractive buying opportunity for investors.

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

Which Australian dividend stock?

The stock in question is NIB Holdings Limited (ASX: NHF).

It is a leading provider of health and medical insurance to over 1.6 million Australian and New Zealand residents. It also provides health insurance to around 200,000 international students and workers in Australia.

In addition, the company is a top three Australian travel insurer and global distributor of travel insurance through its business, nib Travel, providing financial protection and assurance to travellers wherever they are in the world.

What is the broker saying?

A recent note out of Goldman Sachs reveals that its analysts think NIB is an Australian dividend stock to buy.

According to the note, the broker has put a buy rating and $6.50 price target on its shares. Based on its current share price of $5.52, this implies potential upside of approximately 18% for investors over the next 12 months.

As for that all-important income, Goldman believes that NIB will be paying a growing stream of fully franked dividends. It has pencilled in dividends of 26 cents per share in FY 2025, 30 cents per share in FY 2026, and then 33 cents per share in FY 2027.

This equates to dividend yields of 4.7%, 5.4%, and 6%, respectively, for income investors.

Commenting on the Australian dividend stock, the broker said:

NHF is a private health insurer with operations across Australian residents health insurance, New Zealand health insurance, International health insurance and Travel. We are Buy-rated on NHF given: 1) It offers defensive exposure to the private health insurance sector 2) The claims environment (utilisation / inflation) is generally manageable albeit until recently 3) NHF policyholder growth has been better than industry, 4) Expense buffers available to support margins and 5) Strong approved rate increases.

Key downside risks include: 1) Lower-than-expected premium rate increases impacting margins, 2) Return of claims inflation through normalizing utilisation and broader catchup on claims, 3) Higher management expenses in an inflationary environment.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended NIB Holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Dividend Investing

Everything you need to know about the latest Soul Patts dividend

Here’s how big the latest dividend is from the investment house…

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Fund manager names 3 top ASX 200 dividend stocks to buy today

A leading fund manager expects these quality ASX dividend stocks will boost their payouts.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Why ASX dividend shares could still be better than term deposits

Let's see what dividend shares offer compared to term deposits.

Read more »

A man surrounded by huge piles of paper looks through a magnifying glass at his computer screen.
Dividend Investing

As the ASX indexes sink, these unique dividend shares are making investors money

The share price of these two dividend stocks has jumped higher over the past month.

Read more »

A woman looks nonplussed as she holds up a handful of Australian $50 notes.
Dividend Investing

How to invest $10,000 in ASX dividend shares in 2026

A strong income portfolio starts with the right mix. Here’s how I’d allocate my money.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

2 monthly income ETFs with yield reaching as high as 9%

These ASX EFTs pay their investors every single month.

Read more »

$50 dollar Australian notes in the back pocket of jeans, representing dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend shares yielding 9% (or more)

These dividend-paying shares offer a great yield and potential for growth.

Read more »

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

2 ASX dividend shares with yields above 7%

Large yields and potential capital growth. What’s not to love?

Read more »