Is the market too optimistic on Bank of Queensland shares?

Bank of Queensland shares have raced ahead of the benchmark over the past six months.

| More on:
A man looking at his laptop and thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Bank of Queensland Ltd (ASX: BOQ) shares are marching higher today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank stock closed yesterday trading for $6.72. In afternoon trade on Tuesday, shares are swapping hands for $6.81 apiece, up 1.3%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is up 0.9% at this same time.

This sees the ASX 200 bank stock up 16.1% over six months or just about twice the 8.1% half-year gains posted by the benchmark index.

Bank of Queensland shares also trade on a 5.0% fully franked trailing dividend yield.

But after the strong run higher since July, Bell Potter Securities' Christopher Watt said it may be prudent for investors to take some gains off the table (courtesy of The Bull).

Time to sell Bank of Queensland shares?

"The bank delivered a better-than-expected fiscal year 2024 result, leading to a near term share price lift. Cost reduction initiatives are encouraging," said Watt, who has a sell recommendation on Bank of Queensland shares.

Pointing to the stock's strong half-year performance driven by those 2024 results, Watt noted:

However, the market's optimism may be short lived given the bank's ambitious revenue growth targets during the next two years and complex strategic transformation. The shares have risen from $5.92 on July 1 to trade at $6.665 on December 12.

Investors may want to consider cashing in some gains.

What's been happening with the ASX 200 bank stock?

In case you missed it, Bank of Queensland held its annual general meeting (AGM) earlier this month, on 3 December.

Commenting on the outlook for Bank of Queensland shares at the AGM, CEO Patrick Allaway said "We are transforming to a simpler specialist bank with a superior customer experience on our new banking platform and a more optimistic outlook for shareholder returns."

As for costs and revenue for FY 2025, Allaway said, "We are targeting broadly flat total cost growth in FY 2025 and an uplift in revenues from the growth in our business bank and the owner manager conversion in the second half."

And after 18 months in decline, Allaway said the bank managed to stabilise its net interest margin in the second half of FY 2024, in part by refraining from cutting residential mortgage rates to unprofitable levels.

"We again stood back from uneconomic home lending and prioritised economic return over growth," he said.

Bank of Queensland shares closed up 1.6% on the day.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Half a man's face from the nose up peers over a table.
Bank Shares

NAB share price climbed another 3% on Thursday. What's next for the banking giant in 2026?

ASX bank stocks are in the spotlight right now.

Read more »

Two people comparing and analysing material.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to buy CBA shares in 2026 and one reason not to

After a recent pullback, this blue-chip stock looks more interesting. Here are three reasons it could appeal and one reason…

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for NAB shares

Can investors bank on good dividends from NAB?

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Bank Shares

Is Bank of Queensland stock a buy for its 9% dividend yield?

Can investors bank on good dividends from this financial institution?

Read more »

A group of five people dressed in black business suits scrabble in a flurry of banknotes that are whirling around them, some in the air, others on the ground as some of them bend to pick up the money.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price a buy today?

The bank has a number of goals that it’s working on.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Bank Shares

Could the Macquarie share price reach $250 this year?

Macquarie shares would need to rise 18% to hit $250. Here is what earnings forecasts and valuations suggest about whether…

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

Is the ANZ share price a buy today?

How should investors expect the bank to perform in 2026?

Read more »

Half a man's face from the nose up peers over a table.
Bank Shares

Why is everyone talking about the Westpac share price this week?

All eyes are on the banking stock this week.

Read more »