Are Woodside or CBA shares a better buy?

Here's how I'd compare these two major ASX blue chips.

| More on:
Two people comparing and analysing material.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Both Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares may appeal to investors who are looking for large, blue-chip shares.

As the name suggests, CBA is a bank – it's the largest company in Australia.

Woodside is a large energy business, focusing on LNG and oil, with projects around Australia, North America and Africa.

When selecting an individual company for my portfolio, I want it to outperform the overall ASX share market. The company should either be more defensive, provide a stronger dividend yield, or have the potential for greater capital gains.

While they're very different businesses, I'll compare both based on three factors in this article to decipher which stock is a better prospective buy for me.

Dividend yield

I'd guess that many Aussies who buy either of these businesses are doing so to take advantage of the passive income potential.

The CBA share price has shot up 41% this year, while the Woodside share price has fallen by 19%. This divergent performance has had a significant impact on the prospective dividend yields.

Using the forecast payouts on Commsec for the 2025 financial year, Woodside is projected to pay a grossed-up (including franking credits) dividend yield of 4.4% and owners of CBA shares are predicted to get a grossed-up dividend yield of 11.1%.

On this measure, Woodside shares seem much more appealing than the ASX bank share.

Earnings growth

Ideally, I want to see the businesses that I'm invested in generate more profit over the longer term.

If a business can grow profit, it can fund larger dividend payments and also possibly unlock capital growth.

CBA's net profit is normally driven by loan growth, its level of arrears/bad debts, and its net interest margin (NIM). However, in challenging operating conditions, with some struggling borrowers and heightened banking competition, profit growth is not easy for banks. Even so, in FY24, the business made cash earnings per share (EPS) of $5.88, and the independent forecast on Commsec suggests CBA could make EPS of $6.31 in FY25.

Woodside's profit is dictated by energy prices, which are hard to predict, and the production from its operating projects. The business could grow its profit in the future with growth projects it's working on in Australia and North America.

The ASX energy share's financial year finishes in December – the projection on Commsec suggests EPS could fall 13% in FY25 compared to the projection for FY24.

Clearly, CBA's profit is projected to go in a better direction. However, a rebound in energy prices could quickly change Woodside's profit outlook.

Earnings growth is not the only important element when it comes to the value we're getting – price also plays a factor.

Valuation

Looking at the price-earnings (P/E) ratio can tell investors how expensive it is. It's not necessarily helpful to compare different businesses from various industries, but it can be intriguing.

According to projections on Commsec, the Woodside share price is valued at 10x FY25's estimated earnings and the CBA share price is valued at 25x FY25's estimated earnings.

Based on these valuation numbers and the dividend yield, I think Woodside shares are more appealing than CBA shares.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Blue Chip Shares

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Blue Chip Shares

Where to invest $10,000 in ASX shares in November

Let's see which shares analysts are tipping as buys this month.

Read more »

Person holding a blue chip.
Blue Chip Shares

2 blue-chip ASX shares that offer 4% dividend yields

It's hard to find yields this high right now.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Blue Chip Shares

3 high-quality ASX 200 blue chip shares to buy and hold for 10 years

Brokers have put buy ratings on these big names recently.

Read more »

Happy woman looking for groceries. as she watches the Coles share price and Woolworths share price on her phone
Blue Chip Shares

Are Coles shares a great blue chip investment?

Let's see what Bell Potter is saying about the supermarket giant.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Blue Chip Shares

Guess which ASX 200 share could rocket 30%

This blue chip could be one to buy now according to a leading broker.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Blue Chip Shares

Buy, hold, sell: ANZ, CSL, and Telstra shares

Analysts have given their verdict on these popular blue chip shares.

Read more »

Person holding a blue chip.
Blue Chip Shares

2 ASX blue-chip shares offering big dividend yields

These stocks offer both earnings resilience and large passive income.

Read more »

A businessman hugs his computer and smiles.
Blue Chip Shares

5 reasons to buy and hold this Australian stock forever

You might never want to see this stock if you buy it.

Read more »