This ASX travel share is 'going to take off' after falling 30%

Back your bags.

| More on:
A corporate-looking woman looks at her mobile phone as she pulls along her suitcase in another hand while walking through an airport terminal with high glass panelled walls.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX travel share Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD) has suffered this year, slipping 28% into the red.

But one top stock picker believes this company is ready to take off. At this year's Sohn conference, Corporate Travel Management (CTD) was a compelling buy.

Zooming in, shares are up nearly 12% in the past month, hitting three-month highs in today's session. Let's take a closer look.

ASX travel share rated a buy

Speaking at the conference, Rikki Bannan of IFM Investors argued that the small-cap sector, where mispriced opportunities are more common, could offer excellent buying potential in 2024.

Despite the turbulence caused by COVID-19, Bannan says the company's balance sheet allowed it to weather the storm without needing additional cash injections, according to The Australian.

Having been a consistent outperformer over most of its life, CTD has missed expectations on three separate occasions over the past 18 months, which has seen expectations rebased by some 40 per cent, an outcome we think is overly negative.

Our analysis suggests CTD can grow its revenue at 3-year earnings of 15%. This is even before we consider the company's ability to deploy its balance sheet through acquisition.

Bannan also noted that Corporate Travel Management stands to benefit from easing airfare costs, which should make corporate travel more affordable and stimulate demand.

Pack your bags, buy your discount fare, and board the train. Because this stock is going to take off.

Not all as rosy

Not all those covering the stock are as bullish on Corporate Travel Management as Bannan. Recently, Morgans downgraded the ASX travel share from a buy to a hold, adjusting its price target from $15.95 to $13.50.

The downgrade was partly due to concerns that travel spending cuts from the UK government, one of Corporate Travel Management's largest clients, could impact its revenue.

Morgans is at odds with the consensus of analyst estimates, who join Bannan in rating the stock a buy, according to CommSec.

Whether or not this ASX travel share will shine is a matter of time, fate, and the company's fundamentals.

Foolish takeout

Investors are turning to this ASX travel player in the corporate travel sector. IFM, like most brokers, sees the stock as a buy over the coming year.

Not all are as bullish, so it's up to the company to execute now.

In the last 12 months, the stock has experienced losses of 26%.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Corporate Travel Management. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Corporate Travel Management. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Happy woman trying to close suitcase.
Travel Shares

Why Flight Centre shares could return 22% in just one year

The broker thinks this travel stocks could be cheap at current levels.

Read more »

A family walks along the tarmac towards a plane representing more people travelling as ASX travel shares recover
Opinions

Virgin Australia versus Qantas shares: One I'd buy and one I'd sell

The two aviation heavyweights dominate Australia's domestic market.

Read more »

A group of four young kids run along a beach at sunset with the kid in front holding aloft a toy aeroplane that is zooming through the air.
Travel Shares

Has the Qantas share price flown too close to the sun?

A leading investment expert reveals his outlook for Qantas shares.

Read more »

A young female traveller leans over the balcony of her cruise ship room and holds her arms out enjoying the sea air
Mergers & Acquisitions

Flight Centre share price soaring 9% on big acquisition news

Investors are clearly pleased with Flight Centre’s new acquisition. But why?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Is the Qantas share price a buy today?

Is this the right time to buy into the airline?

Read more »

A woman ponders a question as she puts money into a piggy bank with a model plane and suitcase nearby.
Travel Shares

Own Qantas shares? Here are the dividend dates for 2026

Qantas paid 52.8 cps in dividends in 2025. The experts say investors should prepare for less in 2026.

Read more »

A woman looks nervous and uncertain holding a hand to her chin while looking at a paper cut out of a plane that she's holding in her other hand. representing the falling Air New Zealand share price today
Opinions

Flight Centre shares drop 18% this year: Buy, sell or hold?

Can the travel stock keep flying higher?

Read more »

Bored woman waiting for her flight at the airport.
Travel Shares

What does Macquarie think Corporate Travel Management shares are worth?

The broker has given its verdict on this suspended stock.

Read more »