Down 45% in 8 months, why this ASX 200 tech stock 'now looks attractive'

Down 45% since March, this investing expert sees good value in the ASX 200 tech stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) tech stock Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) have lost a lot of ground over the past eight months, though the past week has delivered a marked turnaround.

On 15 March, the Megaport share price closed at $15.40.

In intraday trading today, shares are up 4.1%, changing hands for $8.43 apiece.

While the ASX 200 tech stock has been up an impressive 24% since the market closed on 5 November, shares have remained down 45% in eight months.

And this could offer investors an opportune long-term entry point.

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

Time to buy this beaten-down ASX 200 tech stock?

Medallion Financial Group's Philippe Bui has a buy rating on the ASX 200 tech stock (courtesy of The Bull).

"Megaport provides network-as-a-service solutions,' he explained.

"After a meteoric fall from grace caused by high expectations and muted fiscal year 2025 guidance, Megaport's share price now looks attractive," Bui said.

He continued:

The shares have fallen from $15.39 on March 14 to trade at $7.22 on November 7. The stock is now trading on its lowest revenue multiple in some time. We feel comfortable about buying the stock.

If the company can continue to grow earnings and revenue, the share price should follow. The company generated total revenue of $195.3 million in fiscal year 2024, up 28% on the prior corresponding period.

The ASX 200 stock has gained 16.8% since the figure Bui quotes from 7 November. But if Megaport can indeed deliver ongoing earnings and revenue growth, and keeping in mind that shares have been down 45% since mid-March, the stock could indeed continue to run higher from here.

What's been happening with Megaport?

Megaport's network of more than 113 data centre operators enables businesses to deploy private point-to-point connectivity between any of the locations on its global network infrastructure.

The ASX 200 tech stock's connections to major cloud service providers include companies like Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Google Cloud Platform, the domain of Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG).

The company has been a beneficiary of the ongoing artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. But the Megaport share price tumbled 21% on 22 August when the company released the "muted fiscal year 2025 guidance" Medallion Financial's Bui mentioned above, along with its full FY 2024 results.

For FY 2024, Megaport reported revenue of $195.3 million, up 28% from FY 2023. And earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) were up 182% to $57.1 million.

As for FY 2025, the ASX 200 tech stock forecasts revenue will come in between $214 million and $222 million, with forecast EBITDA of $57 million to $65 million.

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Megaport, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.
Technology Shares

The ASX 200 shares I think smart investors are buying after the tech selloff

The recent pullback has changed the conversation around several ASX 200 growth shares.

Read more »

Smiling young parents with their daughter dream of success.
Technology Shares

Here's why Life360 shares could rise a massive 75%

Big returns could be coming for buyers of this tech stock according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Technology Shares

3 reasons to buy Xero shares now

This beaten down tech stock could be worth considering. Let's see why.

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
52-Week Lows

Down 43% this year, this ASX tech stock is now back at January 2025 levels

Megaport shares are down 43% this year as weak momentum continues.

Read more »

A judge bangs down the gavel.
Technology Shares

Why are shares in this ASX defence company tanking today?

They've received more than just a slap on the wrist.

Read more »

A boy holds on tight as his gaming console nearly blows him away.
Technology Shares

This ASX tech firm presents a "unique" opportunity, Shaw and Partners says

A major game launch is just days away.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Technology Shares

DroneShield shares rebound on investor update

The counter-drone technology company has released an update.

Read more »

A man sitting at a computer is blown away by what he's seeing on the screen, hair and tie whooshing back as he screams argh in panic.
Technology Shares

Should you buy the 20% dip in the DroneShield share price?

This high-flying stock is having its wings clipped on Wednesday.

Read more »