The US election is done and dusted. Is now the time to buy the ASX NDQ ETF?

US stocks continue to march higher this week.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

With the dust settling from the recent US election, many Australian investors are paying close attention to the BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ).

This ASX-listed exchange-traded fund (ETF) tracks the performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index (NASDAQ: NDX) and offers exposure to some of the most significant tech stocks worldwide.

At the time of writing, NDQ shares in the ETF are trading 0.73% higher at $47.06, having soared this week after the conclusion of the US Presidential election.

With the election behind us and the results decided in former president Donald Trump's favour, here's the question: Is now the right time to buy? Let's take a look.

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

Image source: Getty Images

A snapshot of ASX NDQ's performance

The ASX NDQ ETF has outperformed the Australian benchmarks, delivering a 27.1% return over the past 12 months and an average annual return of 20.5% over five years.

Past performance doesn't guarantee future gains, but this ETF has certainly benefited from the strong performance of the US tech sector.

One way to assess the ASX NDQ is by looking at its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. As of September 30, the ETF's forward P/E ratio was 26 times.

While this may seem high compared to many ASX stocks, the companies within the NASDAQ-100 have historically delivered robust earnings growth.

This growth has been reflected in the stock prices of these companies, and in the price of the ETF itself.

Key holdings

The ASX NDQ ETF is heavily weighted towards leading tech players. Top holdings include Apple IncMicrosoft Corporation, and NVIDIA Corp.

These companies are at the forefront of advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and other technologies expected to drive future growth.

For investors, this means exposure to the higher-growth segments of the market. The trade-off is greater volatility.

But using recent data, US tech has outperformed all major asset classes except bitcoin in the past five years.

If this were to continue, the NDQ ETF would be Australia's direct access to this on the ASX.

So, is now the time to buy after the US election?

The decision to buy any security should never be predicated on the outcome of a single event, not for long-term investors anyway. The same is true for the ASX NDQ ETF.

In saying that, there's merit in gauging the directional bias of the market, especially when evaluating international shares.

The NASDAQ 100 Index has soared to new heights this week after the election was done and dusted.

This may or may not have what to do with Trump's policies concerning import tariffs and tax cuts.

Bahnsen Group's chief investment officer (CIO), David Bahnsen, said sentiment had picked up now the results were in.

In a note to clients this week, the CIO also said investors are "pro-growth, pro-deregulation, and pro-markets". This is a positive for US shares in the NASDAQ Index. According to NBC News:

There is also an assumption that (merger and acquisition) activity will pickup and that more tax cuts are coming or the existing ones will be extended. This creates a strong backdrop for stocks.

Goldman Sachs analysts added to this, noting that the market was betting on the tax cuts and the deregulation policies, meaning "certain laggards start to derive equity returns" based on this.

The company's Christian Mueller-Glissman said we would likely see valuations expand and "get a broadening out of equity returns".

[I]n this late cycle backdrop, we want to protect equity overweights as much as possible, until you actually have a real reason to worry, which is mainly a recession.

Mueller-Glissman means to remain overweight on US equities in this instance, and is bullish on the US market.

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve also cut interest rates by 25 basis points overnight, potentially providing another tailwind for US stocks in the ASX NDQ ETF.

It's important to read between the lines here. A pullback in interest rates could spur growth and also be a sign that inflation is tempering.

Given that markets are forward-looking, investors may already be pricing these factors in. Time will tell where we go from here.

ASX NDQ ETF takeaway

The ASX NDQ ETF offers investors a diversified way to tap into the high-growth US tech sector. With the US election done and dusted, markets seem to be looking to the future, as they typically do.

US stocks have rallied hard this week and may continue to do so as long as sentiment remains positive, experts say.

The NDQ ETF is up more than 25% this year to date.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Apple, BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A rocket blasts off into space with planet behind it.
International Stock News

BlackRock just ordered US$5 billion of SpaceX shares. Should you follow?

BlackRock’s huge SpaceX order adds more heat to the IPO.

Read more »

Codan share price A dismayed kid dressed as a scientist stands with his back to a rocket crashed into the ground
International Stock News

The SpaceX IPO will make lots of people rich. Just not you

SpaceX is about to float, but could it sink early investors?

Read more »

A man flies into the sky over a city building-scape with a rocket jet pack sketched onto his back.
International Stock News

Don't want to buy SpaceX shares? You may not have a choice

The SpaceX IPO will be hard to avoid.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
International Stock News

Berkshire Hathaway just sold these stocks

Berkshire has sold a few market darlings...

Read more »

Warren Buffett
International Stock News

Berkshire Hathaway just bought these stocks

Buffett may be gone, but Berkshire added some surprising stocks last quarter.

Read more »

A bemused woman tries to choose between two slices of cake she holds on two plates.
International Stock News

SpaceX IPO: What are dual-class shares?

SpaceX will have a highly unusual share structure.

Read more »

A young woman with a ponytail stands at the crossroads, trying to choose between one way or the other.
International Stock News

Best and worst case scenarios this week for global equities: Expert

Here's what the Betashares Chief Economist is expecting.

Read more »

A tech worker wearing a mask holds a computer chip.
International Stock News

Nvidia CEO reveals massive US$1 trillion AI chip opportunity

Nvidia boss Jensen Huang says Nvidia sees a trillion dollar AI chip opportunity ahead.

Read more »