Should you buy Liontown shares after 'highly encouraging' quarter?

Bell Potter has given its verdict on this lithium miner.

| More on:
A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) shares were under pressure again on Wednesday.

The lithium miner's shares ended the session down by 4.5% to 85 cents.

This means its shares are now down a sizeable 46% since this time last year.

Why did Liontown shares drop?

Investors were selling the miner's shares following the release of its first quarterly update since commencing production at the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project in Western Australia.

Management revealed that its production progressed to plan with volumes totalling over 28,000 dry metric tonnes (dmt) of spodumene concentrate for the eight weeks since first production with an average concentrate grade of 5.2% Li2O.

While the market didn't respond positively to the update, the team at Bell Potter has described the quarter as "highly encouraging."

Commenting on the quarter, the broker said:

The quarter was highly encouraging from an operational perspective with the company illustrating two months of processing plant performance and reiterating previously stated ramp-up targets relating to plant throughput and recoveries. LTR expect to update the market on project optimisation outcomes and its refreshed operating cost estimates in the current quarter. The key focus is on cash generation given current market conditions through optimising production levels, mine sequencing (mining costs and grades) and concentrate product grades.

Big returns

Bell Potter has made no changes to its estimates or valuation following the update. This means that big returns could be on the cards for investors buying at current levels.

According to the note, the broker has retained its speculative buy rating and $1.50 price target on Liontown's shares. Based on its current share price, this implies potential upside of 76% for investors over the next 12 months.

To put that into context, this would turn a $5,000 investment into approximately $8,800 if Bell Potter is on the money with its recommendation.

Though, it is worth noting that its speculative rating means it would only be suitable for investors with a high tolerance for risk.

Commenting on the lithium miner, the broker concludes:

LTR's 100% owned Kathleen Valley lithium project remains highly strategic in terms of scale, long project life and location in a tier-one mining jurisdiction. LTR has offtake contracts with top-tier EV and battery OEMs. Under our modelled assumptions, we expect that LTR is fully funded to free cash flow. LTR is an asset development company; our Speculative risk rating recognises this higher level of risk.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A statuesque woman throws earth in the air in front of a rocky outcrop.
Materials Shares

Lithium price rebounds 25% in 2025: Which ASX lithium shares are a buy?

We reveal the latest broker ratings and 12-month share price targets on 3 popular ASX lithium shares.

Read more »

Focused man entrepreneur with glasses working, looking at laptop screen thinking about something intently while sitting in the office.
Materials Shares

'Stronger, sharper, and simpler': Rio Tinto shares fall despite major update

Let's see what this mining giant has released a strategy update.

Read more »

A little boy holds up a barbell with big silver weights at each end.
Materials Shares

$3,000 invested in this ASX silver share in July is now worth $6,577

That's a mighty impressive return in just a few months!

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

How much upside does Macquarie tip for Rio Tinto shares?

Let's see what the broker thinks of this mining giant.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Materials Shares

Why are Vulcan Energy shares crashing 33% today?

Let's see why this lithium stock is sinking heavily in morning trade.

Read more »

Female miner on a walkie talkie.
Materials Shares

Leading broker thinks this ASX materials stock is set to double!

This small-cap stock is tipped to take off.

Read more »

Woman with an amazed expression has her hands and arms out with a laptop in front of her.
Materials Shares

$5,000 in this ASX lithium share just one month ago would be worth $8,627 today

Lithium commodity values are rising amid renewed global demand.

Read more »

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
Materials Shares

How much higher can this explosive ASX stock go?

Analysts are broadly bullish and see some upside.

Read more »