With the 7% dividend yield, is the Magellan share price a buy?

Could this beaten-up stock be a compelling investment?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

At the current Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) share price, the passive income payout is large enough to offer investors a good dividend yield.

The company has long maintained a high dividend payout ratio to provide investors with an appealing level of passive income. Most of the profit generated each year has been handed straight back to shareholders.

Magellan's policy is to pay interim and final dividends of 90% to 95% of the net profit of its management business and 90% to 95% of net crystallised performance fees after tax.

Before considering if the Magellan share price is attractive at Friday's closing price of $11.26, let's look at the dividend yield.

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

Dividend yield

For FY24, Magellan paid an interim dividend of 29.4 cents per share, a final dividend of 28.6 cents and a performance fee dividend of 7.1 cents. All were franked at 50%.

Those individual dividends totalled 65.1 cents per share for the 2024 financial year. At the current Magellan share price, that annual payout translates to a partially franked dividend yield of 5.8% and a grossed-up (including franking credits) dividend yield of 7%.

Of course, past payouts are not a guarantee of future payouts.

The estimate on Commsec suggests Magellan could cut its total payout to 55.7 cents per share in FY25. Excluding franking credits, that would translate into a dividend yield of approximately 5%.

This is why we shouldn't buy shares in a business solely based on its dividend yield. That yield can crumble if the dividend is cut. The most important question is whether the business and its value are attractive, regardless of the dividend.

Is the Magellan share price attractive?

The Magellan share price has experienced major volatility in recent times. It has climbed almost 76% in the past 12 months. Yet, it's been down 65% in the last three years as funds under management (FUM) slumped and profits dropped.

In FY24 alone, the average FUM dropped 25% to $36.8 billion. The profit before tax and performance fees of the fund's management business also declined 25% to $158.3 million.

Pleasingly, FUM at the end of September had recovered to $38 billion, with an improved investment performance with its funds.

If FUM can slowly but steadily grow, then I believe that will be the key catalyst for Magellan's net profit to improve and help send the Magellan share price higher.

More tailwinds

There are other positives to keep in mind. First, its investment in Barrenjoey is starting to pay off, with the relatively new investment bank making $34.7 million of net profit in FY24, up 40%. Barrenjoey intends to start paying dividends (to Magellan and other shareholders) due to the growth in its earnings, cash generation and capital.

I also think there's merit in Magellan's decision to take a stake in Vinva, which Magellan described as a "high quality, well regarded manager with significant capacity and strong performance". Vinva had approximately $22 billion of assets under management at July 2024.

Magellan sees it as "highly profitable" with "significant growth potential across existing and new products globally." Magellan is partnering with Vinva to accelerate its growth.

I like the moves Magellan has made to diversify its revenue.

Foolish takeaway

According to Commsec, the Magellan share price is trading at around 12x FY25's estimated earnings. If it can grow its overall profit from here, and continue paying large dividends, then this business may be undervalued and could positively surprise.

However, active fund managers are facing significant FUM headwinds from low-cost exchange-traded funds (ETFs), so I'm not jumping to invest in Magellan shares after its rally this year reduced the valuation's attractiveness.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter just downgraded its valuation of this popular ASX 200 share

Let's see what the broker is saying about this stock.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Share Fallers

Why Challenger, Lotus Resources, Mesoblast, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Unhappy business woman in suit with folded arms next to rows of stars with one star box ticked.
52-Week Lows

6 ASX shares hitting 52-week lows amid today's market rally

These ASX shares are bucking the trend today.

Read more »

a man sits at his desk wearing a business shirt and tie and has a hearty laugh at something on his mobile phone.
Share Gainers

Why Bank of Queensland, Guzman Y Gomez, NextDC, and Telix shares are racing higher today

These shares are starting the week in a positive fashion. But why?

Read more »

Two businessmen shake hands behind a window.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Why this ASX REIT is quietly pushing back toward its takeover price

Investors push National Storage higher as the final takeover steps come into view.

Read more »

An oil worker assesses productivity at an oil rig as ASX 200 energy shares continue to rise.
Broker Notes

Up 54% in 2026, are Woodside shares still a good buy today?

A top analyst offers his outlook on the surging Woodside share price.

Read more »

Happy woman in purple clothes looking at ASX share price on mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Down 50% in 2026, Zip shares are 'one of the most compelling value opportunities on the ASX'

Blackwattle portfolio managers Robert Hawkesford and Daniel Broeren provide their assessment of this ASX financial stock.

Read more »

A woman studying share market stats on a computer while writing a report.
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs to buy amid share market rally today: Experts

The ASX 200 soared by 2.6% in earlier trading as investors looked beyond the near-term risks of the global oil…

Read more »