Why did the Flight Centre share price just crash 17%?

Flight Centre shares are getting hammered on Friday. But why?

| More on:
Paper aeroplane going down on a chart, symbolising a falling share price.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price is taking a beating today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) travel stock closed yesterday trading for $21.62. In morning trade on Friday, shares are changing hands for $18.05 apiece, down 16.5%.

For some context the ASX 200 is down 0.4% at this same time.

This sharp underperformance comes after Flight Centre released an operational review and trading update for FY 2025 at the Morgan's Conference.

Flight Centre share price tumbles on uncertain growth outlook

ASX 200 investors are selling down the Flight Centre share price despite the company highlighting the efficiency and productivity improvements achieved since the global pandemic.

In FY 2019, Flight Centre had a revenue margin of 12.9%, which improved to 11.4% in FY 2024. On the cost front, the underlying cost margin dropped from 10.9% in FY 2019 to 9.6% in FY 2024.

Management credited the margin improvement to business mix changes (growth in corporate and lower margin leisure businesses) and commission cuts from some airlines during the pandemic.

The cost margin improvement was said to reflect structural changes made during the pandemic along with economies of scale.

FY 2024 also saw Flight Centre achieve record operating cash inflow of $421 million and a record Total Transaction Value Record (TTV), which the company said was delivered with less than 90% of its traditional cost base.

The company also noted that it now has a heavier second-half "earnings skew", with almost two-thirds of FY 2024 underlying profit before tax generated in the latter six months of the financial year.

Looking ahead into FY 2025, management expects profits will again be heavily weighted to the second half. The ASX 200 travel stock will provide market guidance at its AGM on 14 November.

The Flight Centre share price looks to be catching headwinds as the company expressed a fair amount of uncertainty over the year ahead.

While trading was said to be "marginally above" FY 2024 Q1 in terms of TTV, profit margin and underlying profit, the company said it was "currently too early to draw conclusions as to likely trading patterns over full year".

While there are similar trends in the early months of FY 2025 to the late months of FY 2024, there was "some inconsistency month-to-month".

Management said they are currently expecting normal industry growth over the full year, with 4% to 5% growth in Australian outbound travel. Declining airline ticket prices remain in focus.

The company aims for a 2% underlying profit before tax margin in FY 2025, and overall profit growth is its main priority.

How has the ASX 200 travel stock been travelling?

With today's intraday fall factored in, the Flight Centre share price is right back where it was this time last year.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

A jet plane takes off.
Travel Shares

Why this ASX travel share is flying high

If travel demand holds up, brokers think there's more to come.

Read more »

Smiling woman looking through a plane window.
Travel Shares

Prediction: In 12 months the Qantas share price and dividend could turn $10,000 into…

I think the combination of earnings momentum and income could still deliver solid returns over the next year.

Read more »

A woman looks up at a plane flying in the sky with arms outstretched as the Flight Centre share price surges
Travel Shares

3 reasons I would buy Qantas shares in February

Qantas has rebuilt profitability and flexibility faster than many expected.

Read more »

A woman stands on a runway with her arms outstretched in excitement with a plane in the air having taken off.
Travel Shares

Which airline could deliver almost 25% returns? See what the analysts say

Jarden has run the ruler over the aviation sector and likes what it sees.

Read more »

A smiling woman in a hat holding a ticket takes selfie inside a Qantas plane next to the window.
Travel Shares

$10,000 invested in Qantas shares two years ago is now worth…

Atop share price gains, 2025 also saw the return of the Qantas dividend.

Read more »

Happy couple looking at a phone and waiting for their flight at an airport.
Travel Shares

Why I would buy Qantas shares in 2026

Qantas is no longer a turnaround story.

Read more »

Smiling woman looking through a plane window.
Travel Shares

Is this the best ASX 200 share to buy today?

This business has a lot of potential, according to many experts.

Read more »

A woman on holiday stands with her arms outstretched joyously in an aeroplane cabin.
Travel Shares

How Qantas shares could catch a welcome uplift in 2026

I think now could be an opportune time to buy Qantas shares. Here’s why.

Read more »