Is the Telstra share price a buy for that 4.8% dividend yield?

Here's what a leading broker is saying about the telco giant's shares and its dividend.

| More on:
A woman standing in a blue shirt smiles as she uses her mobile phone.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has been a strong performer over the last three months.

During this time, the telco giant's shares are up a sizeable 16%.

This leaves them trading at $3.97, which is not too far away from their 52-week high.

Given that many see Telstra shares as a great option for dividend income, let's see what this recent rally means for its dividend yield.

Telstra dividend yield

The good news for income investors is that decent dividend yields are still expected in FY 2025 and beyond.

For example, according to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are forecasting fully franked dividends per share of 19 cents in FY 2025, 20 cents in FY 2026, and 21 cents in FY 2027.

Based on the current Telstra share price, this will mean attractive dividend yields of 4.8%, 5%, and 5.3%, respectively.

To put that into context, a $10,000 investment would yield approximately $480, $500, and $530 of dividend income across the three years.

Is the Telstra share price good value?

As well as forecasting some attractive dividend yields, Goldman Sachs sees room for the Telstra share price to keep rising.

The note reveals that it has a buy rating and $4.35 price target on the company's shares. This implies potential upside of 9.6% for investors from current levels.

Combined with its expected dividends, this would mean a total potential 12-month return of over 14%.

Commenting on its buy recommendation, Goldman Sachs said:

Telstra is the incumbent telecom operator in Australia. We believe the low risk earnings (and dividend) growth that Telstra is delivering across FY22-25, underpinned through its mobile business, is attractive. We also believe that Telstra has a meaningful medium term opportunity to crystallise value through commencing the process to monetize its InfraCo Fixed assets – which we estimate could be worth between A$22-33bn.

Although there is some debate around the strategic benefits, we see a strong rationale for monetizing the recurring NBN payment stream, given its inflation linked, long duration cash flows could be worth $14.5bn to $17.9bn, with no loss of strategic benefit. Although at a headline level, Telstra valuation appears relatively full (vs. peers and vs. 10Y yield), we note: (1) Adjusting out NBN recurring payments (a unique asset), Telstra trades at a much more compelling multiple; (2) Although its yield spread is compressed vs. history, when factoring dividend growth this is more attractive. Hence in an uncertain 2024 we rate Telstra Buy.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

A group of businesspeople clapping.
Dividend Investing

Analysts name 3 of the best ASX dividend shares to buy

Analysts are feeling bullish about these names. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Forget CBA shares! Buy these ASX dividend shares instead for passive income

CBA is not the first blue-chip stock I’d buy for dividends.

Read more »

Person handing out $50 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Dividend Investing

An ASX dividend stalwart every Australian should consider buying

This business is a compelling investment for income investors.

Read more »

A businessman hugs his computer and smiles.
Dividend Investing

1 marvellous Australian dividend stock down 20% to buy and hold right now

Analysts think that now could be the time to invest in this stock.

Read more »

Two plants grow in jars filled with coins.
Dividend Investing

I'd buy 3,483 shares of this ASX stock to aim for $2,000 a year of passive income

This ASX dividend share offers big dividend income.

Read more »

Two plants grow in jars filled with coins.
Dividend Investing

These US stocks are growing their dividends like crazy

Most ASX shares can't match these income titans.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

A perfect passive income stock: 0.48% payout each month

If you like monthly dividends, you'll love this ETF.

Read more »

Beautiful young couple enjoying in shopping, symbolising passive income.
Dividend Investing

Forget term deposits and buy these ASX dividend shares

Analysts are feeling positive about these income options.

Read more »