Why Macquarie's dividend doesn't catch my fancy

I am not excited about the passive income potential of this stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I'd call Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) one of the best ASX financial shares in Australia. However, I wouldn't describe the Macquarie dividend as a leading option for passive income.

There's a lot to like about the company, with its diversified earnings across different financial activities, including asset management, retail banking and investment banking.

Another appealing factor is that around two-thirds of its earnings come from overseas, unlike the domestic-focused ASX bank shares that earn nearly all of their profit in Australia and New Zealand.

Macquarie has demonstrated its ability to deliver long-term growth. But, its dividend appeal is a different issue, in my view. Let's dig in.

A bored man sits at his desk, flat after seeing the latest news on the share market.

Image source: Getty Images

Lower dividend yield

Macquarie is one of the largest financial institutions on the ASX, but its dividend yields aren't correspondingly high.

A dividend yield comprises two factors – the dividend payout ratio and the price/earnings (P/E) ratio. In other words, how much of the annual profit is paid to shareholders and what earnings multiple is the business trading at?

Sometimes, Macquarie picks a lower dividend payout ratio than peers like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB).

In FY24, Macquarie's board of directors decided on a dividend payout ratio of 70%. According to the forecasts on Commsec, Macquarie is projected to pay a dividend per share of $7 in FY25, representing a dividend payout ratio of approximately 66% of net profit after tax (NPAT).

At the current Macquarie share price, that represents a (partially franked) dividend yield of 3.4%. That's not bad, but we can get a better savings rate from one of Macquarie's savings accounts.

Plenty of ASX dividend shares can offer a stronger dividend yield. However, there's one reason why the Macquarie dividend can become more appealing.

Growth

Macquarie has done a great job at directing its capital towards long-term growth opportunities. The company has grown its earnings significantly over the past 10 or 15 years.

A growing profit can help fund higher dividend payments, too.

Macquarie is projected to increase its payout by 8.6% to $7.60 per share in FY26, translating into a (partially franked) dividend yield of 3.7%.

The broker UBS' forecasts suggest the Macquarie dividend yield could reach more than 5% by FY29.

New capital notes?

Macquarie announced on Friday morning that it is considering the potential launch of a new capital notes offer.

It's being considered as part of Macquarie's regular capital and funding strategy. Macquarie will appoint Macquarie Capital as sole arranger and joint lead manager, as well as a number of other joint lead managers and syndicate brokers. There is no guarantee this offer will proceed, though.

Macquarie share price snapshot

Since the start of 2024, Macquarie shares have lifted 11%, as shown in the chart below.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Gold piggy bank on top of Australian notes.
Bank Shares

How many CBA shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

Can CBA be a strong choice for dividends?

Read more »

An accountant gleefully makes corrections and calculations on his abacus with a pile of papers next to him.
Bank Shares

If you invested $10,000 in CBA shares a decade ago, here's what it would be worth now

The past decade shows how a steady ASX income stock can still become a serious wealth creator for patient investors.

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

5 years ago, $10,000 bought 389 Westpac shares. But how many would it buy now?

Westpac has delivered solid returns. What has that meant for investors?

Read more »

A young boy flexes his big strong muscles at the beach.
Bank Shares

ANZ, Westpac, NAB and CBA shares: Analysts rate 2 a hold, and 2 a sell

One of these banking giants is tipped to climb another 5%.

Read more »

A man sprawls on the grass reaching out to touch four piggy banks, lined up in a row.
Bank Shares

Are CBA, Westpac, NAB and ANZ shares heading for more pain?

Are the 'big four' banks running out of steam?

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price a buy for its 4.5% dividend yield?

Is the Commonwealth Bank dividend yield now too good to ignore?

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Which big four ASX bank stock is the best buy right now?

There is mixed sentiment around bank shares right now.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 notes with a delighted face.
Bank Shares

Buying Westpac shares? Here's the yield you'll get today

Westpac's yield looks pretty fat right now...

Read more »