Bubs share price wallows despite 50% revenue boost

The Bubs share price is under selling pressure today. But why?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) share price isn't joining in the broader market rally today.

Shares in the ASX infant formula company closed on Friday trading for 13.5 cents. In early afternoon trade on Monday, shares are changing hands for 13.2 cents apiece, down 2.2%.

For some context, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 0.9% at this same time.

This comes following the release of Bub's unaudited financial results for the quarter ending 30 June (Q4 FY 2024).

Young girl drinking glass of milk

Image source: Getty Images

Revenue spike fails to boost Bubs share price

Investor expectations appear to have been high, as the Bubs share price is slipping despite the company reporting Q4 gross revenue of $29.9 million. That's up 50% from the $20.0 million of revenue achieved in Q4 FY 2023.

Following on the strong quarter, full year FY 2024 net revenue of $81.1 million is up 35% from the prior year's $60.1 million. This tops the company's net revenue guidance of $80.0 million.

Q4 operating cash outflow decreased to $3.6 million, a marked improvement from the $13.0 million in cash outflow recorded for Q4 FY 2023. The company cited improved working capital management, cost discipline and operational efficiencies for the reduced outflows.

Still, the Bubs share price could be catching headwinds with the company reporting FY 2024 cash burn of $27.2 million. That figure includes $12.4 million of one-off non-recurring costs. The normalised monthly cash burn came to $1.2 million.

As at 30 June, Bubs held $17.7 million in cash reserves along with $5.0 million of bank facilities for a total of $22.7 million of available cash liquidity.

The company also said it is continuing to follow the FDA's guidelines and is making "meaningful progress" on its United States clinical trial and US permanent access. 351 patients are now enrolled in the Growth Monitoring Study. Bubs expects FDA approval in October 2025.

What did management say?

Commenting on the results that have yet to lift the Bubs share price, CEO Reg Weine said, "Our key target market, the USA, has delivered exceptional growth for Bubs, with total gross revenue1 of $48.9 million, an increase of 63% on FY 2023."

Weine added:

We expect our new products to perform better than the existing range and our US sales to grow strongly in FY 2025. There is early evidence that our new look tins are resonating with US parents and caregivers.

As for China, Weine said:

While USA expansion remains our immediate priority, pleasingly we are now achieving strong sales growth in China with gross revenue in the second half of FY 2024 of $11.0 million exceeding the first half of FY 2024 of $8.0 million.

And on the home front, Weine noted:

Domestically, we are one of the fastest growing infant formula manufacturers in the category and the fastest growing premium brand, achieving 11% scan sales growth for the quarter versus the total market growth of 2.2%. Pleasingly, Bubs is the largest player in the domestic goat IMF [infant milk formula] market with 52% market share.

With today's intraday moves factored in, the Bubs share price is down 34% over 12 months but remains up just under 2% in 2024.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

a man inspects a capsicum while holding an eco-friendly green string bag in a supermarket produce aisle.
Share Market News

ASX 200 consumer staples shares outperformed again last week

Woolworths, Coles, Metcash, and Treasury Wine shares had some of the best gains last week.

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Guzman Y Gomez leaving the US might actually be bullish

One of the hardest things for leaders to do is admit when something isn’t working.

Read more »

Woman chooses vegetables for dinner, smiling and looking at camera.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Coles shares could be a smart buy in an uncertain market

Defensive demand, income potential, and a familiar brand make this ASX share worth considering in a noisy market.

Read more »

A man in full American NFL playing kit crouches over with his arms across his chest in a defensive stance against a dark background.
Share Market News

Morgan Stanley names 3 ASX shares to buy

These three very different companies are worth a look, the broker says.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Macquarie names 3 ASX shares to buy for 40%+ returns

These shares could be set to rocket higher.

Read more »

A happy young woman in a red t-shirt hold up two delicious burritos.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Guzman Y Gomez shares surging more than 15% higher?

It's big news for the company and investors like what they see.

Read more »

a business person checks his mobile phone outside a Wall Street office with an American flag and other business people in the background.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guzman y Gomez exits US market, boosts Australia growth outlook

Guzman y Gomez exits the US market and lifts guidance for its core Australian business after a strategic review.

Read more »

A woman in her 20s holds a glass of milk up towards her face as if to drink it but makes a grimacing face as though she has smelt that the milk might be off or soured.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down 39% in 2026, is this ASX 200 stock becoming a falling knife?

A2 Milk shares are sliding again.

Read more »