Why is the BHP share price starting the week with a whimper?

BHP shares are underperforming the benchmark on Monday. But why?

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is sliding today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant closed Friday trading for $44.39. In late morning trade on Monday, shares are changing hands for $43.82 apiece, down 1.3%.

That sees the big Aussie miner trailing the benchmark, with the ASX 200 down a lesser 0.4% at this same time.

It's not just the BHP share price that's underperforming though. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) shares are down 1.9%, while Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are down 1.5% at this same time.

Here's why the ASX 200 miners are battling headwinds today.

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the BHP share price underperforming on Monday?

Most of the selling pressure impacting BHP, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue today appears to be due to the 3% decline in the iron ore price over the weekend. After defying bearish expectations and climbing for most of the first week of July, the iron ore price dipped back to just over US$110 per tonne.

The reason once more looks to be driven by concerns that China's sluggish, steel-hungry property markets have yet to regain any solid growth traction. Coupled with news of growing iron ore stockpiles at China's largest ports, iron ore traders have been favouring their sell buttons.

With iron ore counting as BHP's biggest revenue earner, the BHP share price is joining in that sell-down today.

Indeed, over the half-year to 31 December, the miner reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of US$9.7 billion from its iron ore division alone.

In its half-year report, released on 20 February, BHP estimated it will produce between 254 million and 264.5 million tonnes of iron ore in FY 2024.

So any pull back in demand from China, the world's biggest consumer of iron ore, is going to have an impact on the BHP share price.

The miner addressed its own cautious outlook for Chinese iron ore and other commodity demand earlier this year, stating:

The Chinese economy has been volatile since the zero-COVID policy was eased in December 2022…

Throughout the year authorities have acknowledged that additional policies will be needed to support China's economic recovery. For the balance of FY24 and into FY25, the key question remains how effective the policy push will be. Until we see greater coherence between the policies and their effective implementation, our outlook will remain cautious and conditional.

With today's intraday moves factored in, the BHP share price is down 13% in 2024 but remains up 3% over 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Expert names Woodside and BHP shares as top buys today

A leading expert forecasts more outperformance from BHP and Woodside shares.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Resources Shares

Should I buy BHP shares in October?

Are the mining shares a buy, sell or hold now?

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Resources Shares

Northern Star Resources rejects $38.7bn Gold Fields takeover offer

Northern Star Resources has rejected a $38.7bn takeover offer from Gold Fields, citing undervaluation and material risk.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Resources Shares

Lynas Rare Earths vs Mineral Resources: Which ASX mining stock shines?

Lynas and Mineral Resources both appeal, but I see more upside in one over the other.

Read more »

Retirement plan written on a chalkboard with increasing bar graphs and dollar signs on top.
Superannuation

Why I'd invest $50,000 of superannuation in New Hope, Mineral Resources and BHP shares

New Hope, Mineral Resources, and BHP shares offer surprising diversity for your superannuation investment.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

This ASX uranium stock could rise 40%: Broker

This company's main project is progressing well.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Resources Shares

What do brokers tip for Fortescue shares over the next 12 months?

Are the mining shares a buy, sell or hold now?

Read more »

Two miners talking to each other.
Resources Shares

BHP shares fall as mining operations grind to a halt

BHP shares are falling again as another setback hits.

Read more »