Why is the BHP share price starting the week with a whimper?

BHP shares are underperforming the benchmark on Monday. But why?

| More on:
a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is sliding today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant closed Friday trading for $44.39. In late morning trade on Monday, shares are changing hands for $43.82 apiece, down 1.3%.

That sees the big Aussie miner trailing the benchmark, with the ASX 200 down a lesser 0.4% at this same time.

It's not just the BHP share price that's underperforming though. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) shares are down 1.9%, while Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are down 1.5% at this same time.

Here's why the ASX 200 miners are battling headwinds today.

Why is the BHP share price underperforming on Monday?

Most of the selling pressure impacting BHP, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue today appears to be due to the 3% decline in the iron ore price over the weekend. After defying bearish expectations and climbing for most of the first week of July, the iron ore price dipped back to just over US$110 per tonne.

The reason once more looks to be driven by concerns that China's sluggish, steel-hungry property markets have yet to regain any solid growth traction. Coupled with news of growing iron ore stockpiles at China's largest ports, iron ore traders have been favouring their sell buttons.

With iron ore counting as BHP's biggest revenue earner, the BHP share price is joining in that sell-down today.

Indeed, over the half-year to 31 December, the miner reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of US$9.7 billion from its iron ore division alone.

In its half-year report, released on 20 February, BHP estimated it will produce between 254 million and 264.5 million tonnes of iron ore in FY 2024.

So any pull back in demand from China, the world's biggest consumer of iron ore, is going to have an impact on the BHP share price.

The miner addressed its own cautious outlook for Chinese iron ore and other commodity demand earlier this year, stating:

The Chinese economy has been volatile since the zero-COVID policy was eased in December 2022…

Throughout the year authorities have acknowledged that additional policies will be needed to support China's economic recovery. For the balance of FY24 and into FY25, the key question remains how effective the policy push will be. Until we see greater coherence between the policies and their effective implementation, our outlook will remain cautious and conditional.

With today's intraday moves factored in, the BHP share price is down 13% in 2024 but remains up 3% over 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A white EV car and an electric vehicle pump with green highlighted swirls representing ASX lithium shares
Resources Shares

3 reasons to buy this ASX 300 lithium share today

A leading investment analyst forecasts a big turnround for this well-funded ASX 300 lithium share.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Bell Potter names two base metals companies which are worth a look

The broker has named two base metals miners it believes will outperform, with a focus on copper and nickel.

Read more »

Pile of copper pipes.
Resources Shares

This ASX 200 copper share is a buy – UBS

Mining analysts say this is a stock worth digging into.

Read more »

A gloved hand holds lumps of silver against a background of dirt as if at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Which Aussie silver company's shares are charging higher on positive news?

This company says the high silver price is changing the game for its South Australian silver project.

Read more »

A boy is about to rocket from a copper-coloured field of hay into the sky.
Resources Shares

Broker tips more than 15% upside for Orica shares after a "strong" start to the year

Orica shares are good buying at current levels, RBC Capital Markets says.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Lynas shares: After a year of outperformance, is it still a buy?

Lynas investors have seen massive volatility. Is it a good time to buy?

Read more »

Iron ore price Vale dam collapse ASX shares iron ore, iron ore australia, iron ore price, commodity price,
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto milestone sends shares in resources tech stock higher

This company has passed a key due diligence milestone triggering a payment from global miner Rio Tinto.

Read more »

Engineer at an underground mine and talking to a miner.
Resources Shares

Up 263% since April are Mineral Resources shares still a good buy today?

A leading investment expert delivers his outlook for Mineral Resources surging shares.

Read more »