Why is the BHP share price starting the week with a whimper?

BHP shares are underperforming the benchmark on Monday. But why?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is sliding today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant closed Friday trading for $44.39. In late morning trade on Monday, shares are changing hands for $43.82 apiece, down 1.3%.

That sees the big Aussie miner trailing the benchmark, with the ASX 200 down a lesser 0.4% at this same time.

It's not just the BHP share price that's underperforming though. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) shares are down 1.9%, while Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are down 1.5% at this same time.

Here's why the ASX 200 miners are battling headwinds today.

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the BHP share price underperforming on Monday?

Most of the selling pressure impacting BHP, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue today appears to be due to the 3% decline in the iron ore price over the weekend. After defying bearish expectations and climbing for most of the first week of July, the iron ore price dipped back to just over US$110 per tonne.

The reason once more looks to be driven by concerns that China's sluggish, steel-hungry property markets have yet to regain any solid growth traction. Coupled with news of growing iron ore stockpiles at China's largest ports, iron ore traders have been favouring their sell buttons.

With iron ore counting as BHP's biggest revenue earner, the BHP share price is joining in that sell-down today.

Indeed, over the half-year to 31 December, the miner reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of US$9.7 billion from its iron ore division alone.

In its half-year report, released on 20 February, BHP estimated it will produce between 254 million and 264.5 million tonnes of iron ore in FY 2024.

So any pull back in demand from China, the world's biggest consumer of iron ore, is going to have an impact on the BHP share price.

The miner addressed its own cautious outlook for Chinese iron ore and other commodity demand earlier this year, stating:

The Chinese economy has been volatile since the zero-COVID policy was eased in December 2022…

Throughout the year authorities have acknowledged that additional policies will be needed to support China's economic recovery. For the balance of FY24 and into FY25, the key question remains how effective the policy push will be. Until we see greater coherence between the policies and their effective implementation, our outlook will remain cautious and conditional.

With today's intraday moves factored in, the BHP share price is down 13% in 2024 but remains up 3% over 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Resources Shares

2 ASX 200 mining shares this fund manager is backing for long-term growth

Blackwattle is invested in the ASX 200's largest diversified miner and its biggest lithium producer.

Read more »

Two mining workers on a laptop at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Buying ASX 200 mining shares? Here's how Rio Tinto, Fortescue and BHP stacked up in March

Buying Rio Tinto, Fortescue, or BHP shares? Here’s how the ASX mining stocks performed in March’s sinking market.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Why are shares in this ASX copper developer surging more than 45%?

A deal for a major funding package has been struck.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Resources Shares

Northern Star Resources posts Q3 gold sales, on track for FY26

Northern Star Resources sold 381,000 ounces of gold in Q3 FY26, keeping its production guidance in sight.

Read more »

A group of people in suits and hard hats celebrate the rising share price with champagne.
Resources Shares

$7,500 invested in Rio Tinto shares 10 days ago is now worth…

The miner's shares crashed 15% in the first three weeks of March.

Read more »

An executive stands looking out a glass window over the city.
Resources Shares

Why this ASX 200 stock just jumped 5% on Wednesday

Perenti shares are up 5% after naming a new Chief Executive.

Read more »

Smiling miner.
Resources Shares

3 reasons why the Rio Tinto share price could be a buy

Let’s unearth why Rio Tinto could be an opportunity worth digging into.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Resources Shares

Up more than 90% over the past year, analysts say this ASX copper stock can keep going

Canaccord Genuity says this is a copper stock to watch.

Read more »