Why is the RPM Global share price crashing 22% today?

This tech stock is having a tough session. But why?

| More on:
A woman screams and holds her hands up in frustration.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The RPMGlobal Holdings Ltd (ASX: RUL) share price is having a difficult time on Tuesday.

In early trade, the mining software solutions provider's shares were down as much as 22% to $2.17.

Its shares have recovered a touch since then but remain down 16% to $2.33.

Why is the RPM Global share price crashing?

Investors have been hitting the sell button today after the company released a trading update.

According to the release, RPM Global sold $50.4 million in software Total Contracted Value (TCV) in the second half of FY 2024. This brings its expected full year TCV to $77 million, which represents a 9.2% increase year on year.

This TCV comprises $75.4 million in subscription licenses (FY 2023: $65.8 million), $1.3 million in perpetual licenses (FY 2023: $2.9 million), and new maintenance of $0.3 million (FY 2023: $1.8 million).

Management notes that the $75.4 million in TCV software subscription sales will deliver annually recurring revenue (ARR) of $9.2 million. As of 1 July, the total value of ARR is $62 million, comprising $50.7 million from subscriptions and $11.3 million from maintenance.

It also highlights that as its software becomes more and more mission critical, mining companies are asking for longer subscription terms to ensure certainty of supply. For example, in the second half of FY 2024, the company sold $18.4 million in software subscriptions with a committed term of eight years and $6.4 million with a committed term of ten years.

Given how the above reads very positively, investors may be wondering why the RPM Global share price is sinking today.

Well, this appears to have been driven by softer than expected profitability during the year.

Softer profits

The release reveals that gross revenue for FY 2024 is expected to finish between $113 million and $114 million. This is up from $98.4 million in FY 2023.

EBITDA (before management incentives) is expected to be in the range of $18.7 million to $19.3 million, which is up from $15 million last year.

And finally, profit before tax (pre management incentives) is forecast to be in the range of $14 million to $14.5 million. This is up 52% to 58% year on year from $9.2 million.

This was lower than forecast, which is weighing on the company's shares today. Management commented:

The lower than forecasted profitability is due to reduced perpetual license sales and the timing of subscription licenses signed during the second half of FY2024.

It is also worth noting that not all of these profits will be retained, with the company intending to reward its employees handsomely. It advised:

Given the growth in TCV, revenue and profitability in FY2024, the Company expects incentives (shared across an increased number of employees) to be in the range of $3.5 million to $3.9 million for the FY2024 year (FY2023: $3.0 million).

Despite today's weakness, the RPM Global share price remains up over 60% since this time last year.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended RPMGlobal. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended RPMGlobal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

A human-like robot checks out market performance on a laptop, indicating the rise of AI shares.
Technology Shares

A fund manager really likes this exciting ASX tech stock!

This business has a compelling future...

Read more »

A female superhero dressed in shiny green with a mask leaps in the sky with leg and arm outstretched in a leaping action.
Technology Shares

This ASX All Ords stock jumped 50% in 2025, tipped to climb another 23%

Here's Macquarie's outlook on the soaring stock.

Read more »

Ship carrying cargo
Technology Shares

Macquarie tips 50% upside for Wisetech Global shares

Wisetech is on a mission to reshape global logistics, and it can actually do that, the team at Macquarie says.

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Technology Shares

How on earth has the WiseTech Global share price exploded 20% in 17 days?

Michael Jordan would be proud of this stock's rebound.

Read more »

A woman works on an openface tech wall, indicating share price movement for ASX tech shares
Technology Shares

Why has this booming ASX tech stock dropped 27% in the last month?

Acquisition and outlook concerns cause market anxiety.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX tech stock could rise 40% in 2026

Bell Potter has good things to say about this tech stock.

Read more »

A mother and her young son are lying on the floor of their lounge sharing a tech device.
Technology Shares

After tanking 26% in a month should you buy Life360 shares now?

A leading investment expert offers his outlook on Life360 shares.

Read more »

man using laptop happy at rising share price
Technology Shares

Why this exciting ASX tech stock is rocketing 18% today

Let's see why this stock is getting a lot of attention from investors today.

Read more »