Buying Rio Tinto shares? Here's why this 'world-class' lithium project could be back on track

Rio Tinto's lithium ambitions have been largely on hold since 2022. But is that about to change?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are slipping on Monday.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining stock closed Friday trading for $120.20. In afternoon trade today, shares are swapping hands for $119.16 apiece, down 0.87%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is down 0.11% at this same time.

Looking ahead, Rio Tinto shares could garner some ongoing tailwinds as the miner's stalled Jadar lithium project in Serbia appears to be back on track.

Here's what's happening.

A yellow sign with the words 'Changes ahead' on a city backdrop, indicating volatile share price movement

Image source: Getty Images

Rio Tinto shares could get a bigger lithium footprint

Lithium prices have come off the boil since the November 2022 record highs. However, most analysts agree that global demand for the battery-critical metal will continue to grow over the decade ahead.

And Rio Tinto shares could derive more revenue from lithium in the years ahead with the Financial Times reporting that Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic is set to lift the ban on the ASX 200 miner's Jadar project.

This follows "new guarantees" from Rio Tinto and the European Union addressing environmental concerns that had derailed the US$2.4 billion project following public protests in 2022. Protestors demanded an end to all lithium exploration in Serbia.

Commenting on the revocation of the licences related to the Jadar lithium-borates project, Rio Tinto states on its website:

We believe the Jadar project has the potential to be a world-class asset that could act as a catalyst for the development of other industries and tens of thousands of jobs for current and future generations in Serbia, while sustainably producing battery-grade lithium carbonate, a material critical to the energy transition.

Jadar is planned as an underground mine.

To give you an idea of the potential on offer for Rio Tinto shares, the miner says the project can produce around 58,000 tonnes of refined battery-grade lithium carbonate, 160,000 tonnes of boric acid and 255,000 tonnes of sodium sulphate annually. All will be produced in powdered form.

And Serbia's president indicated that the Jadar lithium project might be running as early as 2028.

"If we deliver on everything, (the mine) might be open in 2028" Vucic said (quoted by Reuters).

Vucic noted the lithium production from Jadar would be "enough for 17% of EV production in Europe — approximately 1.1 million cars".

Rio Tinto stated, "We believe the Jadar Project has the potential to be a world-class asset that could act as a catalyst for developing an EV value chain in Serbia".

Rio Tinto shares are up 3% over 12 months, excluding the ASX 200 miner's two dividend payments.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Broker Notes

After more than quadrupling investors' money in a year, are PLS shares still a buy?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for the soaring PLS share price.

Read more »

Gold bars and Australian dollar notes.
Resources Shares

Regis Resources posts solid March quarter with strong cash flow and dividend

Regis Resources delivered another solid quarter with strong cash flow, record gold production, and a healthy balance sheet.

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Resources Shares

Emerald Resources delivers record cash flow and project progress in March 2026 quarter

Emerald Resources delivered record cash flow and lower costs in the March 2026 quarter, with robust gold production and strong…

Read more »

woman looking at iPhone whilst working on a laptop
Resources Shares

3 key takeaways from BHP's latest results you need to know

From record production to major growth projects, here’s what stood out in BHP’s latest results.

Read more »

a miniature moulded model of a man bent over with a pick working stands behind a sign that has lithium's scientific abbreviation 'Li' with the word lithium underneath it against a sparse bland background.
Resources Shares

Up 444% in a year, what's moving Core Lithium shares today?

Core Lithium shares are grabbing headlines on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Sandfire Resources lifts cash and revenue in March quarter update

Sandfire Resources boosted its cash position and posted record March quarter revenues despite operational challenges in FY26.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Deep Yellow provides March 2026 exploration update

Deep Yellow has released a March 2026 quarter exploration update for its uranium projects in Namibia and the NT.

Read more »

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.
Resources Shares

West African Resources posts record cash, strong Q1 gold output

West African Resources reported record cash, robust gold output and a positive 10-year production outlook in its March 2026 quarterly…

Read more »