Flight Centre share price lifts off amid record full year sales prediction

ASX 200 investors are bidding up the Flight Centre share price today. But why?

| More on:
A little boy in flying goggles and wings rides high on his mum's back with blue skies above.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price is flying higher today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) travel stock closed yesterday trading for $20.59. In morning trade on Wednesday, shares are swapping hands for $20.89 apiece, up 1.4%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is up 0.24% at this same time.

This comes as investors mull over the trading update and presentation by Flight Centre CFO Adam Campbell at the Macquarie Conference.

Here are the highlights.

Flight Centre share price boosted on reaffirmed profit guidance

The Flight Centre share price is marching higher, with the company eyeing record sales for the full 2024 financial year (FY 2024). Campbell said the business was on track to exceed the previous record total transaction value (TTV) of $23.7 billion it achieved in FY 2019.

And despite impacting its year-on-year growth, Flight Centre lauded falling airfare prices as a "very positive development".

Campbell said that while international airfare prices were still above pre-COVID levels, they're now falling in Australia and "expected to stimulate further demand, particularly in leisure" travel.

The Flight Centre share price is also likely gaining support after the company reaffirmed its profit guidance, saying it expected strong year-on-year growth.

With trade said to be "broadly in line with expectations", management is continuing to target underlying profit before tax (PBT) in the range of $300 million to $340 million for FY 2024.

This compares to PBT of $106 million in FY 2023. Campbell highlighted that if Flight Centre achieved the midpoint of its targeted profit range, this would represent 200% year-on-year growth.

In another strong metric, Flight Centre reported improved margins. In the third quarter (Q3 FY 2024), the company's underlying PBT margin increased by 0.60% from Q3 FY 2023.

Campbell noted that revenue and cost margins were both tracking well ahead of the prior corresponding period. He added these were set for "further improvement as the market recovery continues and as key strategies gain traction, delivering operating leverage".

Among the positive emerging market trends, the company said its outbound capacity in April was tracking at 95% of pre-COVID levels in Australia.

A history of growth

Though still in recovery mode from the COVID blow, the Flight Centre share price has a history of growth.

That's been supported by the company's remarkable achievement of growing its TTV year-on-year 25 times in 29 years since listing. Campbell noted that two of the years it failed to grow TTV were during the pandemic closures.

Among the company's strengths, he cited that its leisure business was leveraged to outbound travel, noting this market had grown at a 5.9% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the 40 years pre-COVID.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Bored woman waiting for her flight at the airport.
Travel Shares

What does Macquarie think Corporate Travel Management shares are worth?

The broker has given its verdict on this suspended stock.

Read more »

A woman stands on a runway with her arms outstretched in excitement with a plane in the air having taken off.
Travel Shares

Are Qantas shares really a turnaround story? Here's what the numbers say

Qantas shares are back on the radar, but is the airline’s long-awaited turnaround finally beginning to take shape?

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

3-month suspension: What's going on with Corporate Travel shares?

Investor wealth has been tied up in this stock for months. Let's see what is going on.

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.
Earnings Results

Guess which ASX 200 stock is jumping 14% on record results

This travel technology company had a record half. Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Happy couple looking at a phone and waiting for their flight at an airport.
Travel Shares

Why this leading fundie forecasts a big uplift for Flight Centre shares

A leading fund manager believes Flight Centre shares are about to take off. But why?

Read more »

A woman on holiday stands with her arms outstretched joyously in an aeroplane cabin.
Travel Shares

How high could the bidding war for Webjet go?

Two companies have lobbed takeover bids for Webjet, but analysts believe yet another could enter the bidding war.

Read more »

A large plane rolls down a runway with a sunny blue sky behind it as brokers reveal their outlook for the Flight Centre share price in FY23
Travel Shares

This travel company has announced a takeover offer and an inaugural dividend on the same day

This travel bookings company is fielding a takeover offer amid difficult trading conditions for the sector.

Read more »

A large plane rolls down a runway with a sunny blue sky behind it as brokers reveal their outlook for the Flight Centre share price in FY23
Travel Shares

How high can Flight Centre shares fly? This prediction might be a pleasant surprise

Flight Centre shares are looking cheap following a strong start to the financial year, analysts say.

Read more »