Up 288% in 6 months, Zip share price tipped for more outsized gains

Zip shares have rocketed 288% in just six months.

The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share price has been on fire of late.

Despite sliding 4.5% in intraday trade today, shares in the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) buy now, pay later (BNPL) stock are up an eye-popping 288% over the past six months.

In late afternoon trade on Thursday, shares are swapping hands for $1.24 apiece.

Despite that huge gain Citi believes there's more outperformance ahead for the company.

Yesterday, the broker lifted its target for the Zip share price by 79% to $1.40 (broker data courtesy of The Australian). That represents a further potential 13% upside from current levels.

Here's what's been going right for the company.

woman using affirm to pay

Image source: Getty Images

Zip share price catching global tailwinds

Two of the tailwinds helping the company's growth plans are inflation and interest rates.

With inflation coming down in Zip's target markets of Australia, New Zealand and the United States, the outlook for consumer spending is looking rosier.

Even more importantly, falling inflation means we're getting closer to seeing central banks cut interest rates. And the Zip share price, along with most every BNPL stock, has proven very sensitive to higher interest rates.

With the outlook for the so-called economic soft landing on the cards, the outlook for the BNPL sector is also looking up. That should help Zip continue to grow its user numbers and profitability in the core US market.

And the company's half-year results, reported on 27 February, certainly reinforced that growth outlook.

Among the highlights, Zip reported a 9.6% year on year increase in total transaction volume (TTV) to $5 billion. Revenue soared by 28.9% to $430 million. And the company's cash gross profit of $176 million was up 45.9% from the prior corresponding half year.

Another key metric that investors will have picked up on was the 1.30% increase in Zip's revenue margin, which reached 8.5% over the half year.

And with US operations charging ahead, TTV in Zip Americas leapt by 33.3% for a record half.

Surprisingly, the Zip share price closed down 14.4% on the day the company released its results.

The next day, ASX 200 investors looked to have had a change of heart and sent the ASX 200 BNPL stock up 13.1%.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Zip Co. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on BNPL shares

Couple enjoying food at a restaurant.
BNPL shares

What would it take for Zip shares to double?

Could this fallen growth share double over the next few years? I run through the numbers.

Read more »

Woman looking at data on her laptop.
BNPL shares

Is the Zip share price a bargain at $2.09?

I look at the earnings forecasts to see how attractive the shares really are at this price.

Read more »

A couple sits on a sofa, each clutching their heads in horror and disbelief, while looking at a laptop screen.
BNPL shares

Zip shares crash another 11% this week: What is going on?

Here's what brokers expect next.

Read more »

A happy shopper with a wide mouthed smile holds multiple shopping bags up around her shoulders.
BNPL shares

Experts tip battered Zip shares to deliver over 90% returns

Zip’s battered share price could be hiding a much brighter future.

Read more »

A happy shopper with a wide mouthed smile holds multiple shopping bags up around her shoulders.
BNPL shares

Experts tip Afterpay owner Block shares to deliver over 50% returns

Block offers investors a compelling long-term fintech growth opportunity.

Read more »

Scared looking people on a rollercoaster ride representing volatility.
BNPL shares

Why Zip shares took investors on a wild ride in August

Zip shares made some big moves in August. But why?

Read more »

Woman with a concerned look on her face holding a credit card and smartphone.
BNPL shares

Is it time to get greedy with Zip shares?

The buy now, pay later provider has suffered several strong headwinds over the past 12 months.

Read more »

Part of male mannequin dressed in casual clothes holding a sale paper shopping bag.
BNPL shares

How high do UBS and Macquarie think Zip shares will go?

Even after a jump this week, these shares could be a bargain.

Read more »