Buy Domino's shares for a 50% return and attractive dividend yield

Morgan Stanley believes investors should be grabbing a slice of this stock.

| More on:
Two parents and two children happily eat pizza in their kitchen as a top broker predicts a 46% upside for the Domino's share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're wanting a combination of big returns and a decent dividend yield, then Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) shares could be the way to do it.

That's the view of analysts at Morgan Stanley, which believe the pizza chain operator's shares are great value at current levels.

What is the broker saying about Domino's shares?

According to a recent note out of the investment bank, its analysts have an outperform rating and $68.00 price target on its shares.

Based on its current share price of $45.20, this implies potential upside of 50% for investors over the next 12 months.

To put that into context, if Morgan Stanley is on the money with its recommendation, a $10,000 investment would be worth $15,000 by this time next year.

Why is it bullish?

The broker believes that the market is too negative on the company's margin outlook. It highlights that the consensus view is that its margins are now structurally lower compared to pre-COVID levels.

However, it sees scope for margins to recover from improved store profitability, lower food costs, and restructuring benefits. In respect to food costs, it estimates that inflationary pressures on these costs have wiped off 2% from its margins.

All in all, the broker believes that "FY24 will be an inflection point for key share price drivers."

Dividends

But the returns won't stop at share price gains, Domino's is a consistent dividend payer.

Morgan Stanley is expecting a $1.21 per share dividend in FY 2024, which represents an attractive 2.7% dividend yield. This would mean dividends of $270 from a $10,000 investment.

And if you're willing to hold on, you can expect an even better yield next year according to Morgan Stanley. It has pencilled in dividends per share of $1.82 in FY 2025, which would mean a 4% dividend yield for investors.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Would Warren Buffett buy Woolworths shares?

Here's my take on whether Buffett would buy Woolies today.

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Another day, another all-time high for Wesfarmers shares

The retail conglomerate continues to shine in 2024.

Read more »

A female Woolworths customer leans on her shopping trolley as she rests her chin in her hand thinking about what to buy for dinner while also wondering why the Woolworths share price isn't doing as well as Coles recently
Broker Notes

Woolworths shares 'less placed' says top broker

Could the supermarket giant's share price be under pressure?

Read more »

Concept image of man holding flames in both hands.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

3 things smart investors know about Guzman y Gomez shares

These are some spicy facts about the company.

Read more »

Close-up of a woman waring a hay and smiling as she carries shopping bags over her shoulder.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why these ASX retail shares are surging while the market dives

These shares are avoiding the selloff. But why?

Read more »

A team in a corporate office shares a pizza while standing around a table chatting about the Domino's share price and Pizza Hut's threat to the business
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down 10% in a month, is this the biggest ASX 200 bargain share right now?

With shares down 10% in a month, is this ASX 200 stock now a screaming bargain?

Read more »

A woman ponders over what to buy as she looks at the shelves of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Have ASX investors missed their chance to buy Woolworths shares?

After a sharp recovery, Woolworths shares might not be on sale anymore...

Read more »

A woman holds a piece of pizza in one hand and has a shocked look on her face.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Domino's shares crashing 9% today?

Domino's is shutting up to 80 underperforming stores in Japan.

Read more »