Down 27% in 2024, this leading fund manager forecasts a big turnaround for Domino's shares

Domino's shares could be poised for a big turnaround, according to this leading fund manager.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) shares haven't exactly shot the lights out so far in the new year.

Since the opening bell on 2 January, shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fast food pizza retailer are down a painful 27%.

Most, if not all, of that pain can be blamed on a trading update from 25 January.

That update indicated strong sales growth for the company at its operations in Germany, Australia and New Zealand. However, the pizza retailer saw same store sales in Japan, Taiwan, Malaysia and France fall.

Investors reacted by sending Domino's shares down 31.1% on the day.

As you can see in the above chart, despite gaining 10% since 25 Janaury, the stock remains down 73% from its mid-September 2021 highs.

That big fall, and the potential for a strong rebound, has put the ASX 200 pizza company on Vertium Asset Management founder Jason Teh's radar. Teh likes to invest in beaten down companies in the early stages of a turnaround phase.

And that turnaround could already be in the early stages for Domino's Pizza.

While Domino's last week reported its Asian businesses continued to struggle over 1H FY 2024, the company's Australia and New Zealand segment enjoyed the strongest top line growth in six years.

And momentum for that turnaround appears to be building.

In the first seven weeks of calendar year 2024, same stores sales growth increased 8.4% in Australia and New Zealand and 0.3% in Asia, while growth slipped 0.6% in Europe.

The company also offers some handy passive income. Domino's shares trade on a 2.3% dividend yield.

Young couple having pizza on lunch break at workplace.

Image source: Getty Images

Domino's shares in 'early days' of turnaround

According to Teh (courtesy of The Australian Financial Review), "You can already see some signs of recovery with the new products that were launched in Australia, and same store sales are improving."

And it's that concentration on targeted product offerings that Teh believes will drive the turnaround for Domino's shares, with the recent success in the company's Australia and New Zealand stores serving as a guide to improving its international sales.

According to Teh:

The overseas markets haven't delivered yet. But it's still early days with all turnarounds. It takes time to see the results of the strategy, but lessons learned in Australia will be taken to overseas markets.

Then there's Domino's CEO Don Meij.

Meij has held that title since 2002. And in 2005 he oversaw Domino's listing on the ASX.

As legendary investor Warren Buffett famously said, "A great manager is as important as a great business."

And Teh believes Meij fits that bill.

"I'm willing to definitely give him a little bit of a benefit of the doubt that he will be able to execute this turnaround strategy. If it was a brand-new CEO, you just don't know as well," he said.

In Monday afternoon trade, Domino's shares are down 0.7% at $43.22 apiece.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

a cute small baby wearing a chinese embroidered outfit looks intently with hands outstretched as a hand holds a bottle of infant formula to his mouth.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Baby Bunting FY26 earnings: Profit surges as margins hit a record

Baby Bunting posts strong FY26 profit growth and expands margin as refurbishment program boosts sales.

Read more »

son playing game on iPad with dad watching netflix
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Ainsworth Game Technology inks major patent deal with Aristocrat

Ainsworth Game Technology strikes a major patent licence deal with Aristocrat to support its Australian growth ambitions.

Read more »

A woman wine tasting in a bottle shop.
Earnings Results

Treasury Wine Estates FY26 earnings: Transformation continues amid US asset write-downs

EBITS was up 19.2% to $492.3 million, beating its guidance.

Read more »

A couple sit in front of a laptop reading ASX shares news articles and learning about ASX 200 bargain buys
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Bapcor reaffirms FY26 EBITDA guidance

Bapcor has confirmed its FY26 underlying EBITDA guidance, providing further clarity for investors.

Read more »

a woman looks at her phone while making a transaction at the counter of a store where racks of clothing can be seen in the background.
Earnings Results

Premier Investments updates investors on FY26 sales and outlook

Premier Retail sales are down in FY 2026.

Read more »

Smiling man at the wheel of a car.
Earnings Results

Amotiv Ltd FY26 earnings steady, dividend lifted

The auto parts retailer is paying a full year dividend of 43 cents per share.

Read more »

A man and woman watch their device screens, making investing decisions at home.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Accent Group share price in focus as Frasers releases updated bidder's statement

The Accent Group share price is in focus after Frasers released a supplementary bidder’s statement challenging Accent’s value assessment.

Read more »

Woman sits cross legged on bed drinking a glass of wine and holding TV remote control.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Treasury Wine Estates writes down US assets, posts higher FY26 EBITS

The wine giant has announced a further $558.4 million post-tax non-cash write-down on its US assets.

Read more »