This ASX 300 share just hit a 52-week low, here's why I just invested

This looked like a cheap stock to me.

| More on:
A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The APM Human Services International Ltd (ASX: APM) share price is an opportunity I'm excited about because of how cheap it has become. The S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) share hit a 52-week low this week. In this article, I'm going to tell you why I made a (relatively small) investment.

APM isn't a well-known business on the ASX, though it has a market capitalisation of over $1 billion.

It operates in 11 countries, including Australia, the UK, Canada, the US and Germany. Each year, it supports more than 2 million people of all ages through its service offerings which include assessments, allied health and psychological intervention, medical, psycho-social and vocational rehabilitation, vocational training and employment assistance, and community-based support services.

There are three reasons why I think this ASX 300 share looks good value right now.

The APM share price is significantly down

I'm interested in investing in growing businesses. I'm particularly interested in those companies when the share price falls heavily.

The APM share price is down 60% since August 2022 and it's down 35% since 9 November 2023.

The company said it's expecting first-half earnings in FY24 to be lower than the first half of FY23 because of "continued record low levels of unemployment in Australia and the UK, resulting in lower client flows into employment programs, together with higher comparable interest costs and taxes."

However, it is expecting a stronger FY24 second-half earnings performance compared to the first half, based on "operational efficiencies implemented during the first half, continued growth of the health businesses, timing of new contracts and the historic second half skew."

According to the estimate on Commsec, the APM share price is valued at just 8 times FY24's estimated earnings and under 7 times FY25's estimated earnings.

Good revenue prospects

The employment market can't really get much stronger than it is, whereas there's a fair chance that unemployment could tick upwards amid the current conditions which could be a boost for the ASX 300 share's revenue and earnings.

APM also noted the UK has extended and expanded its 'restart scheme' in England and Wales for two years to June 2026. APM delivers two "prime restart" contracts in Greater Manchester and Central and West London and a further sub-contract in West Central.

The company has noted there are no major contracts due for renewal in FY24 or FY25, which suggests to me that its existing revenue is fairly supported.

I think there's also potential for it to expand in its existing markets and potentially expand into new markets.

Strong dividend income from the ASX 300 share

I like the cheap valuation, and this has a bonus effect of significantly increasing the dividend yield.

The estimate on Commsec shows a possible dividend yield of 9.2 cents per share, which would translate into a grossed-up dividend yield of 9.4%. That's with a dividend payout ratio of just 51%, so that would leave plenty of profit and cash flow within the business to improve itself.

Hopefully, the APM share price can rise from here, but I can receive large dividends until then.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in APM Human Services International. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended APM Human Services International. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

View from below of a man with a shovel standing by a hole he has dug in the garden, with blue sky in the background.
Resources Shares

Here's why I'm steering clear of Core Lithium shares

Lithium has bottomed out over the past year, but here's why this is NOT the bargain stock to buy.

Read more »

A happy older couple relax in a hammock together as they think about enjoying life with a passive income stream.
Investing Strategies

I'd aim to turn a $20,000 savings account into $25,400 of passive income

It doesn't matter if you don't have a pile of cash to start investing. The important thing is to start.

Read more »

A businessman hugs his computer and smiles.

3 ASX shares to buy and hold forever

I like these stocks as ultra-long term ideas.

Read more »

A man leans forward over his phone in his hands with a satisfied smirk on his face although he has just learned something pleasing or received some satisfying news.

A once-in-a-decade chance to get rich from ASX 200 shares?

The ASX share market is a great wealth-builder.

Read more »

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face as the Woodside share price climbs today
Dividend Investing

2 cheap ASX stocks that offer more than 8% dividend yields

Aussie investors have a huge range of excellent income stocks to choose from. Here's a couple trading at a decent…

Read more »

A smiling man at a shop counter takes payment from a female customer, with racks of plants in the background.
Share Gainers

The Wesfarmers share price is rising again. Should I buy the stock now?

The conglomerate reported warmly received results last week and announced a large dividend.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

1 attractive ASX growth stock for 2024 and beyond

This business is building an exciting future.

Read more »

Young girl starting investing by putting a coin ion a piggybank while surrounded by her parents.
Investing Strategies

2 no-brainer ASX 'beginner' stocks I'd buy

These would make a great core for a starter portfolio, I think, but really that should also be positive for…

Read more »