ASX 200 plunges as Aussie inflation data surprises to the upside

ASX 200 investors didn't like the latest inflation data just released by the ABS.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) just plunged 0.6%.

The ASX 200 was up 0.4% at 11:30am AEST. Then latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data hit the wires. Five minutes later the benchmark index was down 0.2%, where it remains at the time of writing.

Here's why the monthly CPI data, reported by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), is spooking investors.

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 investors run for the woods on CPI data

The ASX 200 is giving back its morning gains and then some after news broke that inflation in Australia is proving stickier than most investors were hoping.

Fast-rising prices have led to a series of interest rate increases from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) over the past year and a half. And with the inflation genie not yet securely back in its bottle, the odds of another RBA rate hike have just gone up.

Higher interest rates, as you're likely aware, tend to pressure most ASX 200 stocks. And newly appointed RBA chair Michele Bullock has made it clear the RBA won't hesitate to lift rates again to get inflation back to the bank's target range of 2% to 3%.

And it looks like we all have some way to go yet.

The ABS reported that CPI rose 1.2% in the September 2023 quarter and 5.4% annually. That's higher than consensus economist expectations of a 5.3% annual increase.

Commenting on Australia's inflation data, Michelle Marquardt, ABS head of prices statistics, noted the 1.2% increase in CPI in the September quarter was "higher than the 0.8% rise in the June 2023 quarter".

Marquardt added, "The rise this quarter, however, continued to be lower than those seen throughout 2022."

Inflation continued to drive the price of most goods and services higher over the quarter.

But Marquardt noted, "There were some offsetting falls this quarter including for childcare, vegetables, and domestic holiday travel and accommodation."

The biggest inflation drivers in the September quarter were automotive fuel (+7.2%), rents (+2.2%), new dwellings purchased by owner occupiers (+1.3%) and electricity (+4.2%).

While the latest 5.4% quarterly results are comfortably below the peak levels of 8.4% recorded in December, ASX 200 investors look to be bracing for another rate hike from the RBA on 7 November.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Down 34% in 2026, are Virgin Australia shares a good buy today?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for Virgin Australia’s beaten-down shares.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

Why these ASX shares are rated as buys in April

Let's see what makes them bullish on these names right now.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Are CBA shares still a good buy for passive income?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on CBA’s passive income appeal.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 2 ASX shares to buy and 1 to accumulate

What is the broker recommending investors do with these shares?

Read more »

Small chocolate bunnies.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rough end to the short trading week.

Read more »

A woman draws on a clear screen a line graph that shows a falling horizontal line.
52-Week Lows

Why Stockland shares just crashed to a multi-year low

Stockland’s sell-off deepens.

Read more »