Is there an ASX stock I could buy to profit if the Aussie dollar rises?

There is a way to invest to directly make returns if the local currency booms against the US dollar.

| More on:
A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The value of the Australian dollar is a tidbit you see on television news bulletins every evening.

Forget investors. Australians generally like to keep tabs on how strong the local currency is.

That's because it has a direct impact on people's lives. How expensive will my family's next overseas holiday be? How much will that lovely handbag on the US shopping site actually cost?

Right now, in historical terms, the Australian dollar is on the weak side. On Wednesday afternoon it was worth 66 US cents.

So if you think this will head upwards, is there an ASX stock you could buy to make money out of it?

The stock that moves up and down with the Aussie dollar

The short answer is that there are plenty. 

Some ASX businesses will perform better with a stronger Australian dollar as it reduces the costs of their supplies from overseas. While other ASX companies prefer a lower Aussie currency because it makes their export goods cheaper for foreign customers.

But for the one ASX stock that's most directly correlated to the strength of the Australian dollar, we turn to Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish.

"The best option is the BetaShares Strong Australian Dollar Fund (ASX: AUDS), which is traded on the ASX. Its goal is to track the performance of AUD v USD," Gerrish said on a Market Matters Q&A.

"It provides geared exposure to AUD of around 2.5x. i.e. a 1% rally by the Australian dollar against the US will generate a 2.5% return and, of course, vice versa."

Aside from pure currency speculation, this fund can provide a currency hedge if your portfolio contains many US stocks.

"If you have AU$1,000 in Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) it would be closely hedged against a fall in the $US by having AU$400 in the AUDS," said Gerrish.

"But always remember there will be no benefit if the Australian dollar falls."

The implications of a rising Aussie dollar

The American dollar is conventionally a safe haven currency. If the global economy tanks, then the USD generally becomes stronger.

Conversely, other developed world currencies, such as the Aussie dollar, tend to rise in value when the international economy booms.

Therefore, if you think the worst of inflation and interest rate rises are now behind us, AUDS could be a useful tool to bring in positive returns.

Gerrish's team actually prefers not to hedge its investments, as currency fluctuations act to cancel out movements in overseas shares.

"We prefer a non-hedged exposure with the currency movements working to create a smoother ride."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Apple. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Investing Strategies

Young female AGL investor leans back in her desk chair feeling relieved after the AGL share price soared today
Dividend Investing

Want passive income? These ASX dividend stocks could help

Brokers think these stocks would be top picks for income investors.

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Dividend Investing

Here's how another $5,000 invested in this high-yield ASX 200 star could boost my dividend income over time!

This high-yield ASX 200 retailer has slipped under $1, but its dividend profile remains one of the strongest in the…

Read more »

People with their hands underneath each other's hands holding a plant.
Growth Shares

2 ASX growth shares I'd buy today for growth and income

Both of these businesses are delivering excellent progress.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Growth Shares

These exciting ASX 200 growth shares could rise 60% to 100% in 2026

Analysts believe these shares could be dirt cheap and strong buys right now.

Read more »

Smiling woman with her head and arm on a desk holding $100 notes out, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend stock down 17% I'd buy right now

I’d happily do some pre-Christmas portfolio shopping with this ASX dividend stock.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

These buy-rated ASX dividend shares offer 4% to 6% yields

Analysts are tipping these shares as buys for income investors.

Read more »

Military soldier standing with army land vehicle as helicopters fly overhead.
Growth Shares

After falling 50%, this under-the-radar growth stock looks like brilliant value to me

A big pullback and rising momentum make EOS one to watch.

Read more »

three businessmen high five each other outside an office building with graphic images of graphs and metrics superimposed on the shot.
Small Cap Shares

Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $4.26

I think this undervalued stock is going places.

Read more »