Here's what this leading broker is saying about the BHP share price

BHP's shares have been on fire this week. Is there more left in the tank?

| More on:
A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has been on fire in recent days.

So much so, the mining behemoth's shares are up approximately 5% since the start of the shortened week.

This has been driven largely by a rebound in commodity prices due to events in China.

In addition, a broker note out of Goldman Sachs may have given the BHP share price a boost.

What did Goldman say about the BHP share price?

Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs released a note highlighting that the global mining sector was trading at a significant discount to historical multiples. It explained:

A review of the past 25 yrs of mining sector valuations shows the Top 20 global miners are currently trading below history on just ~4.5x NTM EV/EBITDA, well below the 25-yr historical average of 6.0x. This is despite strong balance sheets and FCF positions relative to the past few decades, and a strong long run fundamental outlook for commodities due to undersupply and new demand from decarbonisation.

In light of this, the broker reiterated its buy ratings on BHP, Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO), and South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) shares.

Not much upside left

It is worth noting that with Goldman having a buy rating and $46.90 price target on the Big Australian's shares, there is limited upside from current levels. So, it may be worth holding out for a pullback.

Unless you're looking for a source of income, in which case BHP shares could be right up your alley.

Goldman is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of US$1.90 in FY 2023 and US$1.50 in FY 2024. This equates to A$2.81 per share and A$2.22 per share at current exchange rates.

It is also the equivalent of 6.1% and 4.8% dividend yields, respectively.

Commenting on its buy rating, Goldman revealed that copper is what is attracting it to BHP. It concludes:

For BHP, we continue to believe that its major opportunity (and challenge) is growing copper production and offsetting copper reserve depletion and grade decline in Chile, and growing copper production and capturing synergies in South Australia.

All in all, the mining sector looks like a great place to be right now based on what Goldman Sachs is saying.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man raises his reading glasses in a look of surprise.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium stock suspended for 8 months gearing up to resume trading

What's going on with this lithium stock? Here's the latest from the company.

Read more »

A woman sits on a step laughing at something on her mobile phone as it is being charged by a lithium-powered battery.
Materials Shares

At 14 cents, has the Core Lithium share price become a bit of a joke?

Core Lithium's recent losses would be no joke for long-suffering investors...

Read more »

Focused man entrepreneur with glasses working, looking at laptop screen thinking about something intently while sitting in the office.
Materials Shares

Are Liontown shares worth buying right now?

Let's see what one leading broker thinks about this lithium developer.

Read more »

Female miner standing smiling in a mine.
Broker Notes

Buy this ASX All Ords stock for 'good exposure to a rising copper price'

Tom Bleakley from BW Equities says this ASX copper small-cap stock is a buy.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why Pilbara Minerals shares are a buy for this lithium short seller

This expert thinks Pilbara Minerals is uniquely positioned compared to other ASX lithium shares.

Read more »

A miner stands in front oh an excavator at a mine site
Materials Shares

Is ASX uranium the new lithium?

Will uranium shares follow lithium into the breach?

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price
Materials Shares

Why did Liontown Resources shares smash the market in April?

This lithium stock was roaring last month. Why did its shares outperform?

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Materials Shares

Broker says this speculative ASX mining stock could rise over 300%

Bell Potter sees potential for this stock to generate big returns for investors.

Read more »