Should I buy Pilbara Minerals shares for this 'massive' lithium opportunity?

The company's CEO is optimistic Pilbara will benefit from a looming lithium supply deficit.

| More on:
A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Pilbara Minerals CEO Dale Henderson sees a massive opportunity for the lithium industry 
  • In a KPMG report, he offered his insight into the future of lithium over the next decade
  • ASX lithium shares fell across the board on Tuesday, with Pilbara shares closing the day 0.83% lower

The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) CEO believes a significant deficit in lithium supply in the next 10 years could be a "massive opportunity" for the company.

Pilbara shares fell 0.83% on Tuesday, closing at $4.77 each. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) slid 0.74%. Other lithium players had it tougher. Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) shares dropped 1.85%, while Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) shares tumbled 6.38%.

Let's check what the Pilbara Minerals boss had to say about the company's future prospects.

Is this a big opportunity?

Pilbara Minerals CEO Dale Henderson is optimistic about the outlook for lithium supply over the next decade.

Commenting in the KPMG 2023 Global Mining and Metals outlook, Henderson said:

With the market predicting a significant deficit in lithium supply relative to demand over the next 10 years, this presents a challenge for the world, but a massive opportunity for us.

He added the company has a "strong level of confidence" it can deliver into that lithium supply deficit, adding the game plan is "pretty simple".

Put the foot down and maximise the value of the resources as rapidly as we can.

Pilbara produced 148,131 dry metric tonnes (dmt) of spodumene concentrate in the March quarter at an average sales price of US$4,840 per dmt.

The company reported a cash balance of $2.683 billion at the end of the quarter, up 21% on the previous quarter.

Pilbara shares are a buy, according to the team at Macquarie. The broker has an outperform rating on the company's shares and a $7.70 price target.

Currently, lithium carbonate (99.5% battery grade) is fetching US$41,520.92 on the Shanghai Metals market.

What about China and the USA?

The KPMG report also considered the impact of any geopolitical tensions on the metals and mining industry, including relations between the US and China.

Commenting on this issue, Pilbara's Henderson said, "We are thinking about strategies to manage the geopolitical dimension." He added:

We are balancing the fact the whole lithium industry pretty much looks to China for the processing of raw materials, so we can't sever that tie, nor do we want to.

Share price snapshot

Pilbara Minerals shares have soared 70% in the last 12 months, rising 27% year to date.

Pilbara has a market capitalisation of around $14.3 billion based on the latest share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

a miniature moulded model of a man bent over with a pick working stands behind a sign that has lithium's scientific abbreviation 'Li' with the word lithium underneath it against a sparse bland background.
Materials Shares

Up 365% since April, should you buy the recent dip in Core Lithium shares?

Core Lithium shares hit one-year plus highs on 8 January before taking a tumble.

Read more »

an attractive woman gives a time out signal with her hands, holding them in a T shape, indicating a trading halt.
Materials Shares

Why this ASX small cap has hit the pause button again

This ASX small cap is back in a trading halt, with the market waiting on details of a planned US…

Read more »

Materials Shares

ASX All Ords mining stock sinking on big Tesla news

The latest update from Elon Musk’s Tesla is pressuring this ASX mining stock today. But why?

Read more »

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly
Materials Shares

ASX 200 materials sector outperforms as mining shares continue their ascent

Plenty of ASX 200 mining shares hit multi-year highs last week amid continually rising commodity values.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Resources Shares

Buying BHP and Rio Tinto shares? Here's how the ASX mining giants are partnering up

Rio Tinto and BHP are shaking things up in Western Australia.

Read more »

A construction worker sits pensively at his desk with his arm propping up his chin as he looks at his laptop computer.
Materials Shares

This ASX stock just scored a US government win. Here's the details

IperionX shares are rising after US government funding and free titanium feedstock.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX copper stock is jumping 7% on record results

It was a record 12 months for this copper miner.

Read more »

A man in a cardboard rocket ship and helmet zooms across the salt flats.
Materials Shares

Guess which surging ASX All Ords lithium share is smashing the benchmark again today

Investors are piling into this surging ASX lithium share again on Friday. But why?

Read more »