Why ANZ shares are Citi's top banking pick

ANZ could be your ticket to riches in the banking sector according to Citi.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If your portfolio lacks banking sector exposure, then now could be the time to pounce on ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares.

With the banking giant's shares down approximately 10% over the last three months, the team at Citi appear to believe a buying opportunity has opened up for investors.

Particularly given that ANZ shares are the broker's top pick in the banking sector right now.

A businessman lights up the fifth star in a lineup, indicating positive share price for a top performer

Image source: Getty Images

What is Citi saying about ANZ shares?

According to a recent note, the broker has a buy rating and $26.50 price target on the bank's shares.

Based on its current share price of $23.58, this implies potential upside of 12.4% for investors over the next 12 months.

And with Citi expecting ANZ shares to provide investors with 7% fully franked dividend yields through to at least FY 2025, the total 12-month potential return on offer here stretches to almost 20%.

Why is ANZ its top pick?

When reviewing the bank's recent half-year results, Citi revealed why it thinks investors should choose ANZ above other big four banks. It said:

ANZ reported 1H23 cash earnings of $3,821m, in-line with market expectations. However, unlike its recent reported peers, this result was well-received, despite ANZ facing the same competitive pressures on both sides of its balance sheet. We see ANZ having two key advantages for the current environment: 1) a strong deposit franchise finally showing its strength; and 2) a large weighting to Institutional banking.

These advantages are inextricably linked. We have lowered our forward NIM estimates to reflect the industry competition pressure, but the profile shows a more modest decline. Cash EPS estimates are unchanged in FY23, down 7-8% in FY24/25, with our longer-term ROE of 10.5% thereafter remaining intact. This leaves a more modest 3% TP reduction to $26.50. We see ANZ's unique capabilities as set to deliver relative outperformance in the current market conditions. ANZ is our preferred Major Bank exposure.

All in all, this could make ANZ a top option to consider if you're lacking banking sector exposure.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman looks shocked as she drinks a coffee while reading the paper.
Bank Shares

How higher interest rates could send CBA shares plunging 42%

A leading broker warns that CBA shares could tumble 42% amid RBA interest rate hikes.

Read more »

Young investor sits at desk looking happy after discovering Westpac's dividend reinvestment plan
Bank Shares

Should I invest $10,000 in Westpac shares right now?

Westpac has delivered impressive returns, but valuation matters.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

Rates are rising. Are Australia's biggest bank shares still worth buying?

Rates are rising again. Can CBA’s premium valuation hold up?

Read more »

A business woman looks frustrated and angry at a huge stack of paperwork on her desk.
Bank Shares

CBA shares: 3 reasons to buy and 3 reasons to sell

The banking giant's share price is climbing higher again today.

Read more »

A man in trendy clothing sits on a bench in a shopping mall looking at his phone with interest and a surprised look on his face.
Bank Shares

$5,000 invested in NAB shares 12 months ago is already worth…

The banking giant's share price has stormed higher in 2026.

Read more »

A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.
Bank Shares

Forget CBA shares, this ASX bank stock is tipped to soar another 70%

I'd put my money in this ASX bank stock instead.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes and coins in a till.
Dividend Investing

How many Westpac shares do I need to buy for a $10,000 annual passive income?

Westpac shares have a lengthy track record of paying two fully franked dividends every year.

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

If I invest $5,000 in NAB shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

NAB is expected to pay another large dividend in FY27.

Read more »