Top broker upgrades AGL share price by 19%

Are things turning around for the AGL share price, which is up 10.5% in 2023?

| More on:
A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • UBS has raised its share price target on AGL by 19% to $9.60 
  • The AGL share price is $8.94 in early afternoon trading on Wednesday, up 1.13%
  • AGL shares have lost almost 60% of their value over the past five years

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price is outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) today amid one top broker raising its price target significantly on the ASX utilities share.

The AGL share price is $8.94 in early afternoon trading on Wednesday, up 1.13%.

Meanwhile, the ASX 200 is down 0.5%.

As reported in The Australian today, UBS has raised its share price target on AGL by 19% to $9.60.

A price target is a broker's estimate of where an ASX share will be trading in 12 months' time.

The new price target implies a potential upside of 7.4% over the next 12 months.

What's the latest with the AGL share price?

It's been one hell of a slog for AGL shares investors in recent years.

The stock has lost almost 60% of its value over five years, while the ASX 200 has climbed almost 20%.

That's really tough to watch.

But big fluctuations in the share price are to be expected when a company is going through turmoil.

To recap, AGL generates and retails electricity and gas for residential and commercial use.

Last year, AGL's previous management wanted to divide the company in two. It planned to siphon off AGL's coal power stations and other high-carbon assets into a separate company.

A shareholder revolt followed, led by environmentalist and entrepreneur Mike Cannon-Brookes.

In 2023, the AGL share price is doing better, up 10.7% in the year to date.

What's new with the company?

AGL is among the first ASX 200 companies forced to begin a significant business restructure to meet the challenges of global decarbonisation.

The world wants cleaner energy supplies, and meeting that demand is going to cost AGL a lot of money.

It's hard to make a profit in such difficult times.

The last piece of price-sensitive news out of AGL was in February when it reported its 1H FY23 results.

The company revealed a 55% fall in its underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) to $87 million.

Argh, so painful.

AGL also reported a statutory loss of $1.08 billion, including $706 million of impairment charges (after tax) due to its accelerated decarbonisation plan.

But my Fool colleague Tristan points out that the price/earnings (P/E) ratio now looks quite low based on where the AGL share price is today.

He says he wouldn't be surprised if the AGL share price rises by at least 20% over the next 15 months.

Plus, higher electricity prices could lead to improved dividends for long-suffering shareholders in FY24 and FY25.

AGL insiders also appear to be optimistic. Why else would nine directors be topping up their AGL shares?

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in James Hardie Industries Plc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended PointsBet. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended PointsBet. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on Coles vs. Woolworths share prices

One stock is set for a 26% share price gain over the next 12 months while the other is destined…

Read more »

Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 50%

Big returns could be on the cards for owners of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 100 stock can rise 14% to a new 52-week high

Goldman Sachs thinks investors should be buying this top stock now.

Read more »