Top broker upgrades AGL share price by 19%

Are things turning around for the AGL share price, which is up 10.5% in 2023?

| More on:
A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

sdf

Key points

  • UBS has raised its share price target on AGL by 19% to $9.60 
  • The AGL share price is $8.94 in early afternoon trading on Wednesday, up 1.13%
  • AGL shares have lost almost 60% of their value over the past five years

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price is outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) today amid one top broker raising its price target significantly on the ASX utilities share.

The AGL share price is $8.94 in early afternoon trading on Wednesday, up 1.13%.

Meanwhile, the ASX 200 is down 0.5%.

As reported in The Australian today, UBS has raised its share price target on AGL by 19% to $9.60.

A price target is a broker's estimate of where an ASX share will be trading in 12 months' time.

The new price target implies a potential upside of 7.4% over the next 12 months.

What's the latest with the AGL share price?

It's been one hell of a slog for AGL shares investors in recent years.

The stock has lost almost 60% of its value over five years, while the ASX 200 has climbed almost 20%.

That's really tough to watch.

But big fluctuations in the share price are to be expected when a company is going through turmoil.

To recap, AGL generates and retails electricity and gas for residential and commercial use.

Last year, AGL's previous management wanted to divide the company in two. It planned to siphon off AGL's coal power stations and other high-carbon assets into a separate company.

A shareholder revolt followed, led by environmentalist and entrepreneur Mike Cannon-Brookes.

In 2023, the AGL share price is doing better, up 10.7% in the year to date.

What's new with the company?

AGL is among the first ASX 200 companies forced to begin a significant business restructure to meet the challenges of global decarbonisation.

The world wants cleaner energy supplies, and meeting that demand is going to cost AGL a lot of money.

It's hard to make a profit in such difficult times.

The last piece of price-sensitive news out of AGL was in February when it reported its 1H FY23 results.

The company revealed a 55% fall in its underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) to $87 million.

Argh, so painful.

AGL also reported a statutory loss of $1.08 billion, including $706 million of impairment charges (after tax) due to its accelerated decarbonisation plan.

But my Fool colleague Tristan points out that the price/earnings (P/E) ratio now looks quite low based on where the AGL share price is today.

He says he wouldn't be surprised if the AGL share price rises by at least 20% over the next 15 months.

Plus, higher electricity prices could lead to improved dividends for long-suffering shareholders in FY24 and FY25.

AGL insiders also appear to be optimistic. Why else would nine directors be topping up their AGL shares?

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in James Hardie Industries Plc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended PointsBet. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended PointsBet. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

a man looks down at his phone with a look of happy surprise on his face as though he is thrilled with good news.
Broker Notes

3 of the best ASX stocks to buy now with $2,500

These shares are highly rated by the team at Bell Potter.

Read more »

A man in suit and tie is smug about his suitcase bursting with cash.
Broker Notes

2 big-name ASX 200 shares brokers rate as top buys

Let's see which shares could be in the buy zone right now.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

a man in a green and gold Australian athletic kit roars ecstatically with a wide open mouth while his hands are clenched and raised as a shower of gold confetti falls in the sky around him.
Broker Notes

3 Australian shares to buy and hold for the next 5 years

Let's see why analysts think these stocks could be worth holding tightly to for the remainder of the 2020s.

Read more »

A person sitting at a desk smiling and looking at a computer.
Broker Notes

4 ASX tech shares impressing analysts today

Four technology companies featured prominently in Wilson Asset Management's recent investment updates.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names the best ASX shares to buy

Let's see which shares the broker is bullish on this month.

Read more »

Business man at desk looking out window with his arms behind his head at a view of the city and stock trends overlay.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

How much upside does Macquarie see for Collins Foods shares?

The company is scheduled to report on 24 June.

Read more »