Buy this ASX 200 share for a 20% return before it's too late: Goldman Sachs

Investors could hit the jackpot if they buy this top ASX 200 share.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Aristocrat Leisure Ltd (ASX: ALL) could be a must-buy ASX 200 share according to analysts at Goldman Sachs.

And with the gaming technology company's half-year results on the horizon, the broker is urging investors to buy its shares before it's too late.

Slot machine paying jackpot.

Image source: Getty Images

What is Goldman saying about this ASX 200 share?

According to a note out of the investment bank this morning, its analysts have reiterated their buy rating and $45.70 price target. Importantly, the broker has also kept Aristocrat on its coveted conviction list.

These are the shares that Goldman feels have a combination of big potential returns and a high likelihood of realising this potential. It said:

Based on the current Aristocrat share price of $38.69, this implies potential upside of 18.1% for investors over the next 12 months. And if we throw in the expected 2% dividend yield, the total potential 12-month return stretches beyond 20%.

Why is the broker so bullish?

Goldman has been looking at how this ASX 200 share's rivals have been performing and believes it points to a strong first-half in the key Americas region. It said:

Key listed gaming peers in the US have reported 1Q23 results across the land-based space over the past couple of weeks. Common themes across all results were continued strength in topline growth and shipments, i.e. flagging strong industry growth for the quarter, except where company specific factors were in play. For ALL, we expect the Americas division to report c. 18.2% growth yoy for 1H23.

And while the broker acknowledges that there are some short-term concerns over the performance of its Pixel United (digital) business, it isn't enough to put Goldman off. Particularly given its diverse business and attractive valuation. It concludes:

Feedback from recent investor conversations shows that there remains strong interest in the name, especially on the iGaming opportunity, although there remains divided opinions on how quickly this becomes a meaningful part of the business. Outlook for Pixel United continues to be the key area of concern for investors.

We view ALL as offering the most diversified growth opportunities in the ANZ Gaming space with a strong balance sheet and at attractive valuation multiples. We are Buy rated (On CL) on ALL with a 12m Target Price of A$45.70 and offering a total return of +20.6%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Netwealth, PLS, and Reliance shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these shares. Let's see what the broker is saying.

Read more »

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A panel of formidable business people stand in a group with serious looks on their faces as if in judgement of what's before them.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares to buy: experts

In new notes, brokers say these ASX stocks are good buys today.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter is tipping a 40% return from this ASX 200 share

A 40% return could be on the cards for buyers of this share.

Read more »

Woman checking bottle expiry dates.
Broker Notes

Here's why Morgans just upgraded Woolworths shares

The supermarket giant just received a boost from Morgans.

Read more »

A frustrated young woman shopper holds her hands up with a pained, annoyed expression on her face as she stands next to her trolley in a grocery store and examines the stock offerings on the shelf in front of her.
Broker Notes

Why this leading broker just downgraded Woolworths shares

Let's see why this supermarket giant's shares have just been hit with a downgrade.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Are Mineral Resources shares a buy in May?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about this mining share.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

5 ASX shares scoring upgraded ratings this week

Experts have raised their ratings on JB Hi-Fi, Beach Energy, Amcor, and others this week.

Read more »