Broker warns that 'our conviction has waned' on Westpac shares

Here's what this broker is saying about Westpac shares after its results.

| More on:
A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Last week, banking giant Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) released its half-year results.

Investors didn't respond overly positively to the release, with Westpac shares losing almost 3% of their value over the week.

But one leading broker remains positive. Well, just about!

According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts have been a little shaken by the result but have seen enough to retain their add rating with a new lowered price target of $24.22.

Based on the current Westpac share price of $21.09, this implies potential upside of 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, the broker is expecting a $1.49 per share fully franked dividend in FY 2023 and then a $1.52 per share fully franked divided in FY 2024. This boosts the total potential return to approximately 22% over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say about Westpac shares?

While the broker was pleased with the bank's earnings, it was disappointed with a couple of items. It explains:

WBC delivered solid 1H23 earnings growth, a lift in ROE, a step-up in DPS, and finished the period with a strong capital and liquidity position. The NIM leverage and stepping away from the FY24 cost target were the disappointments.

Nevertheless, Morgans sees enough value in Westpac shares to overlook this. It said:

Potential 12 month TSR at current prices is c.18% [now 22%] so still justifies an ADD. However, our conviction has waned given some of the potential upside to ROE that we had been targeting has either fallen away (eg. cost target) or been proven (eg. CET1 ratio increase). Positives are the relatively low risk asset and funding mix and undemanding valuation. Concerns are the ability to continue to deliver transformation and grow its loan book at value accretive rates.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A pink piggybank sits in a pile of autumn leaves.
Bank Shares

Australian Bank Stocks: Which ones look like a buy (and which don't)

Is there any upside for bank shares?

Read more »

Friends at an ATM looking sad.
Bank Shares

Could 2026 be the year when CBA stock implodes?

I think CBA's glory days are over.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

CBA shares returned just 4.9% last year. Should investors look elsewhere?

With peers racing ahead, is the big bank now fully priced?

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in Westpac shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2026?

Can investors bank on good dividend income from Westpac in 2026?

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

How did the CBA share price perform in 2025?

Did Australia's largest bank deliver the goods last year? Let's find out.

Read more »

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.
Bank Shares

The pros and cons of buying CBA shares in 2026

Is this a good time to look at the bank?

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share
Bank Shares

Why I'm not selling my CBA shares in 2026

Expensive? Sure, but I'm not ending my shareholding in Australia's biggest bank.

Read more »

A young man in a blue suit sits on his desk cross-legged with his phone in his hand looking slightly crazed.
Bank Shares

Would I be mad to buy more CBA shares near $160?

CBA has come down quite a bit since June...

Read more »