Why I'm not selling my CBA shares in 2026

Expensive? Sure, but I'm not ending my shareholding in Australia's biggest bank.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) is one of those shares that seems to divide investors more than almost any other on the ASX.

On traditional valuation measures, it's hard to argue the shares look cheap. Many analysts believe CBA is overvalued, especially compared to its major bank peers. Even so, I'm not selling my CBA shares, and I'm comfortable continuing to hold them.

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share

Image source: Getty Images

A bank that consistently outperforms

CBA has earned its reputation as Australia's highest-quality bank. Its scale, technology leadership, and dominant deposit base give it structural advantages that competitors struggle to match.

In a higher interest rate environment, that deposit strength matters. Banks with strong, sticky retail deposits are better positioned to defend margins, even as competition inevitably picks up. While mortgage pricing remains competitive across the sector, CBA has historically shown more discipline than most, prioritising returns over pure volume growth.

That discipline is a big reason the market continues to place a premium on the stock.

Valuation isn't the only consideration

If I were assessing CBA purely as a new investment today, I'd probably be more cautious. At around $161 per share, expectations are already high, and future returns may be more modest than they've been over the past few years.

But as an existing shareholder, the decision to sell isn't just about valuation. It's also about what comes next.

Selling shares that have appreciated significantly can trigger a sizeable capital gains tax bill. That's money that immediately leaves the portfolio and reduces compounding power. Unless I have a clearly superior alternative with a better risk-reward trade-off, I'm reluctant to crystallise gains just for the sake of it.

The dividend looks better than it appears

Another reason I'm happy to keep holding is the dividend.

At today's share price, CBA's yield might look relatively modest, particularly for new buyers. But for investors who bought two years ago, when shares were trading closer to $110, the yield on cost is far more appealing.

Add in full franking credits, and that income stream becomes even more attractive on an after-tax basis. For long-term investors who value reliable income, CBA continues to play an important role.

Steady returns in an uncertain environment

I don't expect CBA to deliver explosive growth from here. But I don't need it to.

What I value is consistency. CBA generates strong profits, maintains healthy capital levels, and has a proven ability to navigate economic cycles. Even as the banking sector faces margin pressure from competition and slower credit growth, CBA remains well-positioned relative to its peers.

In uncertain markets, there's something to be said for owning businesses you trust to keep delivering, even if the upside is incremental rather than dramatic.

Foolish Takeaway

Yes, CBA shares look expensive. But they're expensive because the business has consistently delivered.

Between the quality of the franchise, the tax implications of selling, and the ongoing appeal of fully franked dividends, particularly for long-term holders, I see little reason to rush for the exit. I'm not buying more at current levels, but I'm also not selling.

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has positions in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

Could CBA shares reach $180 in 2027?

I crunch the numbers to see what it would take for the banking giant to reach $180 next year.

Read more »

a hand reaches out with australian banknotes of various denominations fanned out.
Dividend Investing

Down 15% and paying record dividends: Are CBA shares now a good buy for passive income?

With CBA shares down 15% since August and paying record FY 2026 dividends, should you buy the ASX bank stock…

Read more »

A judge sitting in a blurred background reaches forward to strike his gavel on the strikeplate on his judge's bench.
Bank Shares

Why Macquarie's $321 million Shield problem is back in court

Another Shield court case is giving investors something else to watch.

Read more »

A little girl stands on a chair and reaches really, really high with her hand, in front of a yellow background.
Dividend Investing

 If I invest $10,000 in CBA shares, how much passive income will I receive in FY27?

Find out what passive income you could earn off your CBA shares next year.

Read more »

Stressed businessman sits in panic amid digital stock market financial background.
Bank Shares

Down 12%: Are CBA shares a buy, sell or hold now?

Find out what brokers tip for the ASX banking giant's shares next.

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Dividend Investing

Westpac, ANZ, NAB or CBA shares? Which ASX bank stock should I buy for $5,000 a year in passive income?

Are ANZ, NAB, Westpac, or CBA shares a better buy for a $5,000 annual passive income?

Read more »

Numerous Australian dollar notes laid out.
Bank Shares

How many NAB shares do I need to buy for $9,000 of passive income?

NAB could be a useful option for dividends…

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price a buy at $38.48?

I like the combination of business banking exposure, modest earnings growth and a prospective fully franked dividend yield above 4%.

Read more »