Why this broker just upgraded BHP shares to a buy rating

It could be time to snap up the Big Australian's shares.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares had a solid session on Wednesday.

The mining giant's shares rose 1.5% to end the day at $47.27.

CSR share price rising asx share price represented my man in hard hat giving thumbs up

Image source: Getty Images

Why did BHP shares push higher?

One potential reason why investors were bidding BHP shares higher on Wednesday was the release of a broker note out of Morgans.

According to the note, the broker has upgraded the Big Australian's shares to an add rating (the equivalent of a buy rating) with an improved price target of $51.10.

Based on the current BHP share price, this implies potential upside of 8.1% for investors from current levels.

In addition, the broker is expecting BHP to pay fully franked dividends of 203 US cents per in FY 2023 and then 271 US cents per share in FY 2024. This equates to yields of 6.4% and 8.5%, respectively.

What did the broker say?

The broker made the move on the belief that iron ore has come out of a slump in great shape. It commented:

Despite notable pessimism across consensus, we also have observed gradual but consistent upgrades to iron ore price forecasts from the street, leaving sentiment receptive to any contrary signs of firming demand or supply fundamentals.

While the market remains concerned with comments from the Chinese government around capping steel output at 2022 levels, we note that those levels are quite healthy – particularly when coupled with iron ore supply risks. [..] China iron ore stockpiles at port remain at healthy levels, suggesting increased iron ore imports are being consumed.

In light of the above, the broker believes that "BHP remains in the best shape, with the fewest hurdles, with attractive cash flow and dividend profile."

Overall, this could make BHP worth considering if you're looking for exposure to the mining sector. Morgans recommends "accumulating the big miner on any weakness."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Couple looking at their phone surprised, symbolising a bargain buy.
Broker Notes

AGL, Cochlear, WiseTech shares: Buy, hold, sell

Find out what brokers expect next for these ASX shares.

Read more »

A jockey gets down low on a beautiful race horse as they flash past in a professional horse race with another competitor and horse a little further behind in the background.
Broker Notes

Top broker says this ASX stock could rise 70%

This media stock looks like a bargain, the broker says.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

2 ASX stocks Bell Potter says could rise 95% and 114%

These two very different technology stocks have had good news recently.

Read more »

Four young friends on a road trip smile and laugh as they sit on roof of their car.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares tipped by brokers to return 18% to 96%

Brokers have a buy or strong buy rating on all these ASX shares.

Read more »

Three friends walking together and enjoying free time.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares tipped to fly 109% to 322% higher

Do you own any of these ASX shares in your portfolio?

Read more »

An investor wearing a dressing gown and holding a cup of coffee in a yellow mug gives a satisfied smile.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares to buy amid a volatile market: experts

Experts say there are buying opportunities amid today's turbulent trading conditions.

Read more »

Two men and a woman sitting in a subway train side by side, reading newspapers.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: New Hope, Cleanaway Waste Management, NextDC shares

Let's check out some new ratings on these ASX 200 shares today.

Read more »

Man using his device in an airport.
Broker Notes

Top broker says this ASX stock could rise 115%

Big returns could be on offer here according to Bell Potter.

Read more »