Is the Santos share price being stifled by 'reckless' growth?

Santos has a number of new, multi-billion-dollar oil and gas projects in the pipeline.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Santos share price is in the green today
  • Activist investor Snowcap believes Santos should focus less on growth and more on returns to shareholders
  • Snowcap is concerned Santos’ new oil and gas projects don’t align with the global energy transition

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is up 1% during lunchtime trading.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) oil and gas company closed yesterday trading for $7.32 each. They are currently trading for $7.39 apiece.

The company's share price is faring better than the benchmark index which is 0.06% in the green at the time of writing.

Today's gain puts the Santos share price up 4% in 2023 so far.

But according to United Kingdom-based activist environmental, social and governance (ESG) investor Snowcap, investors should be seeing significantly higher returns.

Close up of a miner wearing a hard hat with a solemn look on his face, with an oil drill in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the activist investor worried about growth projects?

As The Australian Financial Review reports, Snowcap has labelled Santos' growth strategy, launched by CEO Kevin Gallagher in April 2021, as "misguided and reckless".

The activist investor believes a series of reforms could see Santos increase its value for shareholders by up to 50%.

Snowcap says Santos has "drastically underperformed" its international peers since 2021 by focusing on developing major new oil and gas projects rather than returning capital to shareholders. Snowcap also took aim at the $6 million bonus incentive for Gallagher, which is dependent on successfully rolling out new projects.

According to Snowcap partner Chris Kinnersley (quoted by the AFR):

Mr Gallagher originally led a successful turnaround at Santos based on many of the same principles that we are arguing for today, namely capital discipline. But the company's aggressive ramp-up in upstream growth spending has undone much of that good work.

The activist investor believes the Santos share price will suffer if the company doesn't address the risks from the ongoing global energy transition.

"We believe Santos must take urgent action to reduce its upstream capex, increase capital returns, and realign executive incentives," Snowcap said. "Doing so has the potential to unlock 30% [to] 50% upside in Santos' share price and materially improve the company's alignment with the energy transition."

Snowcap's admonishment comes just two days after prime minister Anthony Albanese announced the government's strong support for gas power in that energy transition.

"Gas in particular has a key role to play, as a flexible source of energy – providing peaking power today and continuing to provide firming and back-up power," he said.

Indeed, judging by the frantic demand to secure domestic gas supplies over the past year in Australia and across the globe, Santos' growth projects may not look quite so reckless and misguided once they come online and start producing revenue.

Santos share price snapshot

As you can see in the chart below, the Santos share price is down 5% over the past 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Falling prices of oil demonstrated by a red arrow and barrels of oil.
Energy Shares

ASX shares to watch as oil price crashes

The turnaround in oil prices is a huge headwind for the ASX shares.

Read more »

Red arrow going downwards in front of oil pumpjacks.
Energy Shares

Why are Santos and Woodside shares crashing today?

Let's see what is weighing on these shares on Wednesday.

Read more »

A Santos oil and gas company employee stands in a field looking at an iPad with an oil rig in the background and grey skies above, representing carbon in the atmosphere.
Energy Shares

Santos shares sink 5% despite another strong Alaska result

Santos shares fall despite strong Alaska oil appraisal and project progress.

Read more »

An oil worker holds his hands in the air in celebration in silhouette against a seitting sun with oil drilling equipment in the background.
Energy Shares

4 reasons why Woodside shares are a screaming buy right now

The oil and gas giant's shares have rallied off the back of tighter global oil supply.

Read more »

An oil worker assesses productivity at an oil rig as ASX 200 energy shares continue to rise.
Broker Notes

Up 54% in 2026, are Woodside shares still a good buy today?

A top analyst offers his outlook on the surging Woodside share price.

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy New Hope shares today

A leading analyst expects more outsized gains from New Hope shares.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Energy Shares

Why are shares in this uranium company surging today?

It's big news for this emerging uranium player.

Read more »

a man in a business suit looks at a map of the world above a line up of oil barrels with a red arrow heading upwards above them, indicting rising oil prices.
Energy Shares

How ASX 200 energy shares like Santos, Beach and Woodside surged in March's sinking market

March saw investors pile into ASX 200 energy shares like Woodside, Santos and Beach.

Read more »