3 good reasons I'm avoiding CBA shares at all costs!

CBA is a popular ASX share. But that doesn't mean it's a good investment.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares are some of the most popular investments on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). For many years, CBA was the biggest share on the ASX 200 by market capitalisation. And it remains the largest ASX 200 bank on our share market.

As such, CBA is one of the most common shares to find in an ASX share portfolio. But that doesn't mean it's automatically a good investment.

So today, let's discuss three reasons why I'm personally avoiding CBA shares for my portfolio.

A man stands with his arms crossed in an X shape.

Image source: Getty Images

3 reasons why I'm avoiding CBA shares in 2023

The property market

CBA is one of the banks most heavily exposed to residential property. According to the bank's own numbers, it had a 25% share of Australian home lending as of 31 December 2022, well above its closest competitor's 20%. But with greater market share comes greater risk.

And it's no secret that property prices are facing a lot of pressure right now, thanks to rising interest rates. If rates keep rising and disposable incomes fall further, then CBA might be faced with a spike in loan arrears.

This leads me to believe that CBA might not enjoy the same kinds of prosperity it has in the past from residential property, at least for the next year or two.

CBA shares are expensive

Investors have a special affinity with the CBA share price, thanks to its dominance of the Australian banking sector. But this affinity comes at a cost – investors routinely price this ASX bank share at a premium against its competitors. Let's use a simple metric to demonstrate – the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio.

At present, CBA's big four competitors all have lower P/E ratios than CBA does itself. Right now, ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) has a P/E ratio of 10.2

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) is at 13.85, while Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) is sitting at 14.27.

But CBA is perched atop this pole with a current P/E of 16.92. Now some might argue that Commonwealth Bank deserves to trade at a premium. But this is a steep one. This indicates to me that this bank's share price is still elevated and doesn't have much of a cushion for any future falls.

You can get better dividends elsewhere

Many ASX investors, especially retirees, love holding CBA shares for their fully franked dividends. And sure, right now, the bank is offering a decent dividend yield of 4.28%.

But you can get far better yields elsewhere. For example, CBA's fellow big bank ANZ currently has a trailing dividend yield above 6%. Its smaller banking rival Bank of Queensland Ltd (ASX: BOQ) has a yield of 6.65% right now. Both come fully franked too.

And even an index exchange-traded fund (ETF) like the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) has a higher trailing yield than CBA. Vanguard Australian Shares ETF units are currently sitting on a trailing yield of 7%.

So I think there are better places to go than CBA if dividend income is your primary motivation for owning this bank share.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in National Australia Bank, Bank of Queensland and Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

5 years ago, $10,000 bought 389 Westpac shares. But how many would it buy now?

Westpac has delivered solid returns. What has that meant for investors?

Read more »

A young boy flexes his big strong muscles at the beach.
Bank Shares

ANZ, Westpac, NAB and CBA shares: Analysts rate 2 a hold, and 2 a sell

One of these banking giants is tipped to climb another 5%.

Read more »

A man sprawls on the grass reaching out to touch four piggy banks, lined up in a row.
Bank Shares

Are CBA, Westpac, NAB and ANZ shares heading for more pain?

Are the 'big four' banks running out of steam?

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price a buy for its 4.5% dividend yield?

Is the Commonwealth Bank dividend yield now too good to ignore?

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Which big four ASX bank stock is the best buy right now?

There is mixed sentiment around bank shares right now.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 notes with a delighted face.
Bank Shares

Buying Westpac shares? Here's the yield you'll get today

Westpac's yield looks pretty fat right now...

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Why is the Macquarie share price falling today?

Macquarie shares are in the red but significantly outperforming the ASX 200 on Monday.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Bank Shares

Down 17%: Are Westpac shares cheap?

What are analysts at Ord Minnett saying about the big four bank? Let's find out.

Read more »